Who won the 16:10 Doncaster on 10 September 2026?
Primal (GB) won the 16:10 Doncaster at SP 6.00. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by Andrew Balding.
16:10 Doncaster
Meadowhall X Flannels Beauty Bar Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 6 runners · £18,319 · Thursday, 10 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stPrimal (GB)Marco Ghiani·Andrew Balding5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndKeep Grating (IRE)Joe Leavy·Richard Hannon·beaten 1.5 lengths5/1·6.00SP
- 3rdWaasil (GB)Sam James·K. R. Burke·beaten 0.2 lengths11/4·3.75SP
Race time
1m 39.52s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Primal (GB))
“Held up early - pushed along two out then made ground to lead a furlong out - drifted right approaching the final 110 yards - kept up the strong finish to score”
AI top-rated Al Wathba (score 74.6) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Al Wathba
Al Wathba heads this Class 3 contest over eight furlongs at Doncaster on good-to-soft ground with the strongest profile in the field, narrowly ahead of Waasil and carrying a more meaningful advantage over Metamouse and Primal, who represent the chief dangers alongside the second-rated runner. Waasil and Metamouse will need to find improvement to close the gap, while Primal is capable of making the frame if conditions suit, but Al Wathba's overall edge in quality and form makes a compelling case for the selection to confirm superiority on this surface. The selection is Al Wathba.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Al Wathba
William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 2yo
Top-rated of 6
score 74.6 · +3.5 clear of next best (71.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight89very strongLast 6: 2-2-1
- Trainer20% weight83very strongCharlie Appleby: 5/15 winners last 14d (33%)
- Ratings50% weight61averageOR 91 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Doncaster 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.10
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.92
High (5–6)
IV 0.97
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 224 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 2yo · C · ch | 64842 | 76 | 55.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 6321 | 77 | 51.6 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 411 | 87 | 71.2 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 221 | 91 | 74.6 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 621 | 82 | 62.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 6 2yo · G · b | 4143 | 79 | 47.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Doncaster?
No — the AI top pick (Al Wathba) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:10 Doncaster?
Top finishers: 1. Primal (GB) (6.00), 2. Keep Grating (IRE) (6.00), 3. Waasil (GB) (3.75).
What was the winning time for the 16:10 Doncaster?
The winning time was 1m 39.52s.
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