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15:43 Galway

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

1m½f · Flat · Yielding · 6 runners · €13,200 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 5 · score 49.3 · +19.3 clear of next best · best 3/1·4.10
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Leadlight

Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 6
score 49.3 · +19.3 clear of next best (30.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    12d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    53average
    Last 6: 4-6-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 4/40 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 4.10 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Galway 1m½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.34).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.34
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.82
High (5–6)
IV 0.81

Today: City Of Gold (draw 2) and Aladdin's Cave (draw 1) get the bias; Noble Exhibit (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 70 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
5
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 · combo 7/95 (7%)
2yo · C · bp
462
8049.33/1·4.134.1·4.10
Matchbook
Compare 27 books ▾
6
J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5 · combo 2/26 (8%)
2yo · C · ch
3
30.011/4·3.843.8·3.80
Matchbook
Compare 26 books ▾
3
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2 · combo 18/110 (16%)
2yo · C · bbFT B
52
28.92/1·2.956/4·2.50
Bet Victor · -15% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
1
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1 · combo 2/42 (5%)
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
23.010/1·11.2111·11.00
Matchbook · -2% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
2
J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 6 · combo 4/46 (9%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
05
15.516/1·17.7014/1·15.00
Bet Victor · -15% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
4
2yo · G · bOnly runner
65
11.880/1·79.08100/1·101.00
LiveScore Bet · +28% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 18% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden?

The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden is off at 15:43 on 8 September 2026 at Galway (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:43 Galway?

1m½f, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:43 Galway?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:43 Galway?

The AI top-rated runner is Leadlight (score 49.3, best price 4.10). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:43 Galway?

The market favourite is City Of Gold at a best price of 2.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Leadlight.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org