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RacingAlpha

14:12 Carlisle

Quooker Tap 100 Degrees Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 13 runners · £5,400 · Wednesday, 9 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Lady Foxtrot (IRE)
    Pierre-Louis Jamin·K. R. Burke
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tradittion (GB)
    Cieren Fallon·Tim Easterby·beaten 1 length
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Flower Youmzain (IRE)AI top pick · 50.3
    Tom Eaves·Kevin Ryan·beaten 1 length
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 14.03s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Lady Foxtrot (IRE))

“Settled with the pack early - pushed to improve into contention approaching 2f out - drifted left but found runner-up spot inside the final furlong - stayed on strongly to hit the front close home for the win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Flower Youmzain

Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan · 2yo

Top-rated of 13
score 50.3 · +7.8 clear of next best (42.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: 5-4-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    Kevin Ryan: 5/31 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.99
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.10
High (10–13)
IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 2
2yo · F · b
——30.0
14/1·15.00
SP
210
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1
2yo · F · bbFT B
764
6242.5
14/1·15.00
SP
37
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 7
2yo · F · b
543
6750.3
11/2·6.50
SP
46
J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 4
2yo · F · ch
4
—30.5
5/2F·3.50
SP
55
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Simon Waugh · draw 10
2yo · F · b
——15.0
100/1·101.00
SP
61
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6
2yo · F · b
2
—39.1
15/2·8.50
SP
711
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 12
2yo · F · b
6
—19.0
9/2·5.50
SP
84
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 11
2yo · F · b
4
—23.5
7/2·4.50
SP
93
J: Ray Dawson · T: Iain Jardine · draw 9
2yo · F · ch
6
—16.0
40/1·41.00
SP
1012
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3
2yo · F · chpFT P
368
6541.5
40/1·41.00
SP
118
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 13
2yo · F · b
——19.5
20/1·21.00
SP
122
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5
2yo · F · b
87
—19.7
150/1·151.00
SP
1313
J: Rowan Scott · T: Tracy Waggott · draw 8
2yo · F · b
——15.0
200/1·201.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:12 Carlisle on 9 September 2026?

Lady Foxtrot (IRE) won the 14:12 Carlisle at SP 15.00. Ridden by Pierre-Louis Jamin. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:12 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Flower Youmzain) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 14:12 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Lady Foxtrot (IRE) (15.00), 2. Tradittion (GB) (15.00), 3. Flower Youmzain (IRE) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:12 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 14.03s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org