Who won the 16:17 Carlisle on 9 September 2026?
Donald (GB) won the 16:17 Carlisle at SP 6.00. Ridden by Callum Rodriguez. Trained by David & Nicola Barron.
16:17 Carlisle
Quickstep Supporting Andersons Autumn Flooring Offers Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 11 runners · £3,402 · Wednesday, 9 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stDonald (GB)Callum Rodriguez·David & Nicola Barron5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndLittle Beck Annie (GB)Daniel Tudhope·Peter Niven·beaten .5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdBay Breeze (GB)Duran Fentiman·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.2 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
1m 14.21s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Donald (GB))
“Settled towards back early - made ground into contention 2f out and asked for effort - powered clear final furlong - got up close home to win”
AI top-rated Run This Way (score 45.7) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Donald
Donald is narrowly behind the top-rated Run This Way on paper, but a progressive profile and solid clock figures that back up the form make him an appealing proposition in an open six-furlong contest on good-to-soft ground at Carlisle. Run This Way, Bay Breeze, and Velvet Skies all rate within a pound and will push him hard throughout, so this is far from a straightforward race. Donald is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Run This Way
David Nolan · Paul Midgley · 8yo
Top-rated of 11
score 45.7 · +2.2 clear of next best (43.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight65averageLast 6: 7-1-1-4-3-3
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 58
- Trainer20% weight18weakPaul Midgley: 1/14 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.10
High (9–11)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 3 4yo · G · ch | 454942 | 59 | 38.8 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Peter Niven · draw 4 4yo · F · bp | 47155 | 50 | 32.3 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 7yo · G · bp | 673446 | 58 | 43.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Katie Scott · draw 9 3yo · F · bpFT P | 783678 | 49 | 28.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 4yo · G · bvFT V | 553409 | 57 | 40.6 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 2 8yo · M · bb | 711433 | 58 | 45.7 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8 4yo · F · bp | 726630 | 45 | 33.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 1 3yo · G · chb | 400012 | 48 | 32.6 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 9 | 1 | J: Tom Eaves · T: W H Harrison · draw 11 5yo · G · chv | 946208 | 60 | 32.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 10 5yo · G · b | 94902 | 56 | 39.9 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 11 | 11 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Donald Whillans · draw 6 3yo · G · btp | 874065 | 45 | 29.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:17 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Run This Way) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 16:17 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Donald (GB) (6.00), 2. Little Beck Annie (GB) (5.00), 3. Bay Breeze (GB) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:17 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 14.21s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org