18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

16:25 Thirsk

Calverts Carpets Hambleton Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    High Storm (GB)
    Pierre-Louis Jamin·K. R. Burke
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Wardlaw (USA)AI top pick · 66.8
    Kevin Stott·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 2.25 lengths
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Spirit Of Acklam (GB)
    Joanna Mason·Michael & David Easterby·beaten 1.25 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
Race time
2m 35.28s

Race time recorded.

In-running (High Storm (GB))

Travelled keenly in early stages - moved to front 4f out - had to work through pressure 3f out - kicked clear inside final furlong to score

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way58.9/100 rating
What's The Plan
5.50LiveScore Bet
Place portion settles at 1.90 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Spirit Of Acklam

Spirit Of Acklam heads this Thirsk twelve-furlong contest on good-to-soft ground and holds a clear edge over the field, sitting three pounds clear of the next-best High Storm and well ahead of the remainder, making a convincing case as the one to beat on known form. High Storm represents the most credible threat and cannot be dismissed, while What's The Plan and Bay Of Myths, rated level on 83, could also make their presence felt if the ground suits. The selection's superior rating looks tailor-made for a horse of this profile, and confidence is high that the form will be reproduced today. Spirit Of Acklam is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Wardlaw

Kevin Stott · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 66.8 · +7.9 clear of next best (58.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    80very strong
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 6/19 winners last 14d (32%)
  • Form20% weight
    77strong
    Last 6: 5-2-2-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 76
MarketBest price 3.00 (BetTom) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 1m4f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.71
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.49
High (7–8)
IV 0.87

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 8
3yo · G · b
42154
8258.1
7/2·4.50
SP
26
3yo · G · bh
52231
7666.8
11/8F·2.38
SP
31
5yo · G · b
95714
8053.0
13/2·7.50
SP
43
3yo · G · b
13
7947.5
20/1·21.00
SP
54
J: Harry Davies · T: James Fanshawe · draw 4
3yo · G · b
43422
7858.9
5/2·3.50
SP
65
J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: David Thompson · draw 1
5yo · M · bt
5547
7041.0
150/1·151.00
SP
PU8
J: James Sullivan · T: Michael Bell · draw 3
3yo · G · ch
648412
6751.6
50/1·51.00
SP
J: Jason Hart · T: David Menuisier · draw 2
3yo · G · bh
7374
7540.7

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:25 Thirsk on 5 September 2026?

High Storm (GB) won the 16:25 Thirsk at SP 4.50. Ridden by Pierre-Louis Jamin. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Wardlaw) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:25 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. High Storm (GB) (4.50), 2. Wardlaw (USA) (2.38), 3. Spirit Of Acklam (GB) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:25 Thirsk?

The winning time was 2m 35.28s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org