Who won the 13:15 Doncaster on 11 September 2026?
Forbidden Fire (GB) won the 13:15 Doncaster at SP 5.50. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Andrew Balding.
13:15 Doncaster
Betfred Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 9 runners · £36,862 · Friday, 11 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stForbidden Fire (GB)Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndRock Montreal (IRE)Ray Dawson·Roger Varian·beaten 0.2 lengths5/2·3.50SP
- 3rdNabati (IRE)AI top pick · 79.2William Buick·Charlie Appleby·beaten 1.5 lengths1/1F·2.00SP
Race time
1m 24.90s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Forbidden Fire (GB))
“Fought for control early - sat close to pace - made steady progress 2f out - hit front and pushed along before drifting left with a two-length margin entering the last furlong - gap narrowed inside final 110yds - hung on by a whisker”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Nabati
Nabati rates just a pound behind the two top-rated runners on these figures but is preferred over them on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come, and a seven-furlong Class 1 on good-to-soft ground at Doncaster looks a fine opportunity for that improvement to arrive. Varzi and Dandyman Dan, both narrowly ahead on ratings, are the obvious dangers and must be respected, while Kach Above also merits consideration if running to a higher level. On balance, Nabati is the call.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Nabati
William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 2yo
Top-rated of 9
score 79.2 · +8.7 clear of next best (70.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight93very strongLast 6: 1-2-1
- Trainer20% weight88very strongCharlie Appleby: 6/17 winners last 14d (35%)
- Freshness10% weight85very strong35d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight69strongOR 104 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 26.00 (Betano) · 3rd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Doncaster 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.10
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.92
High (7–9)
IV 0.97
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 224 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 1 | — | 38.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 34.0 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 4 2yo · C · ch | 121 | 104 | 79.2 | 1/1F·2.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Tom Marquand · T: T J Kent · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 331 | 79 | 52.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 3 2yo · C · bt | 21 | 87 | 70.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Oliver Cole · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 15943 | 96 | 59.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Rowan Scott · T: David Loughnane · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 47114 | 94 | 53.2 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 5 2yo · C · ch | 2 | — | 36.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 410 | 92 | 61.8 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:15 Doncaster?
No — the AI top pick (Nabati) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 13:15 Doncaster?
Top finishers: 1. Forbidden Fire (GB) (5.50), 2. Rock Montreal (IRE) (3.50), 3. Nabati (IRE) (2.00).
What was the winning time for the 13:15 Doncaster?
The winning time was 1m 24.90s.
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