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13:12 Leicester

British EBF Ron Brooks Motor Group Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £6,804 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 52.8 · +19.2 clear of next best · best 5/1·6.20
Best value vs consensus
48·48.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair (consensus 43.94)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way52.8/100 rating
Ferrystream
6.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Ferrystream

Billy Loughnane · Jane Chapple-Hyam · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 52.8 · +19.2 clear of next best (33.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 1-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    18weak
    Jane Chapple-Hyam: 1/15 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketBest price 6.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leicester 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.03
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.17
High (7–9)
IV 0.81

Today: La Torre (draw 4) and Divine Concerto (draw 5) get the bias; Ferrystream (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 148 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 7 · combo 4/13 (31%)
2yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner
14
8052.85/1·5.826.2·6.20
Betfair Exchange · +7% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 1 · combo 6/92 (7%)
2yo · F · grOnly runner
2
33.65/2·3.402/1·3.00
Bet365 · -12% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 3 · combo 24/153 (16%)
2yo · F · b
27.56/1·7.116.6·6.60
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4 · combo 19/104 (18%)
2yo · F · chClass drop
25.04/1·4.853/1·4.00
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 9 · combo 4/56 (7%)
2yo · F · b
8
21.517/2·9.6916.5·16.50
Betfair Exchange · +70% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
9
J: Harry Davies · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 8 · combo 0/9 (0%)
2yo · F · chOnly rideOnly runner
5
19.525/1·27.1429·29.00
Matchbook · +7% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Charles Bishop · T: Alan King · draw 2
2yo · F · b
7
17.040/1·43.9448·48.00
Matchbook · +9% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
3
J: Ray Dawson · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 5 · combo 1/8 (13%)
2yo · F · chOnly runner
98
15.2200/1·195.14150/1·151.00
7Bet · -23% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Rob Hornby · T: Tom Ward · draw 6 · combo 1/9 (11%)
2yo · F · b
9
14.750/1·52.9885·85.00
Matchbook · +60% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 29% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the British EBF Ron Brooks Motor Group Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The British EBF Ron Brooks Motor Group Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 13:12 on 8 September 2026 at Leicester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:12 Leicester?

7f, Class 3, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:12 Leicester?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:12 Leicester?

The AI top-rated runner is Ferrystream (score 52.8, best price 6.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:12 Leicester?

The market favourite is Lizzie Bennet at a best price of 3.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Ferrystream.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org