Who won the 17:40 Ballinrobe on 11 September 2026?
Carried With Love (IRE) won the 17:40 Ballinrobe at SP 4.00. Ridden by Aidan Kelly. Trained by Jonathan Sweeney.
17:40 Ballinrobe
IrelandP&D Lydon Mares Beginners Steeplechase
2m7f · Chase · Yielding · 9 runners · €7,800 · Friday, 11 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stCarried With Love (IRE)Aidan Kelly·Jonathan Sweeney3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndStraight Home (IRE)Sean Cleary-Farrell·W P Mullins·beaten 1.25 lengths11/8F·2.38SP
- 3rdCooke's Lass (FR)Kevin Sexton·Gordon Elliott·beaten 11 lengths28/1·29.00SP
Race time
5m 59.20s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Carried With Love (IRE))
“Settled just behind front pack - up to 4th by 9th - into 4th again 4 out - shared front spot 3 out - went ahead before 2 out - edged clear over last and held on gamely to the finish”
AI top-rated Affinity Rock (score 68.3) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way24.5/100 rating
Carried With Love
5.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Carried With Love
Carried With Love heads this nine-runner field on good ground at Ballinrobe, rated seven pounds clear of Straight Home and narrowly ahead on ratings alone will not be enough if she fails to reproduce her best form over this extended trip, making this a tricky puzzle to solve with confidence. Straight Home represents the most obvious threat, with Ad Caelum and Affinity Rock — rated level with each other — also capable of causing an upset if the selection runs below par. On balance, however, Carried With Love's superior form profile gives her the edge, and she is the one to be with in what shapes as a competitive staying contest. The verdict is for Carried With Love.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Affinity Rock
Carl Millar(5) · Cian Collins · 6yo
Top-rated of 9
score 68.3 · +5.8 clear of next best (62.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight81very strongOR 122 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight63averageLast 6: 1-0-2-2-3
- Trainer20% weight25weakCian Collins: 1/10 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 4.00 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Aidan Kelly · T: Jonathan Sweeney · draw 0 5yo · M · g | 33327 | — | 24.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Sean Cleary-Farrell(7) · T: W P Mullins · draw 0 9yo · M · bt | 1413 | — | 33.6 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Kevin Sexton · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 6yo · M · bp | 2F5P | — | 15.4 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Carl Millar(5) · T: Cian Collins · draw 0 6yo · M · b | 10223 | 122 | 68.3 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Alan O'Sullivan(5) · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0 7yo · M · btFT T | 6315PP | 104 | 57.0 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Ricky Doyle · T: Emmet Mullins · draw 0 6yo · M · chtp | 83330 | — | 17.3 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Ben Harvey · T: D M Christie · draw 0 8yo · M · b | UP10 | — | 12.5 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Philip Donovan · T: Paul John Gilligan · draw 0 7yo · M · b | 1P739 | 102 | 62.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| PU | 7 | J: Alix Balfe(7) · T: Dermot A McLoughlin · draw 0 8yo · M · bp | 016135 | — | 19.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:40 Ballinrobe?
No — the AI top pick (Affinity Rock) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 17:40 Ballinrobe?
Top finishers: 1. Carried With Love (IRE) (4.00), 2. Straight Home (IRE) (2.38), 3. Cooke's Lass (FR) (29.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:40 Ballinrobe?
The winning time was 5m 59.20s.
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