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RacingAlpha

No Napier No Party Apprentice Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 8 runners · £3,664 · Saturday, 12 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    King Sharja (GB)
    Tom Kiely-Marshall·Ruth Carr
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Thats My Boy Luke (GB)
    Jake Dickson·Tim Easterby·beaten 1.75 lengths
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Due Respect (IRE)
    Shay Farmer·Catch Bissett·beaten 1.5 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
1m 40.63s

Race time recorded.

In-running (King Sharja (GB))

“Settled just behind the pace on the rail - 5th at halfway - asked for effort with 2f left - angled left into 3rd inside final furlong - hit the front 110 yards out and stayed on strongly for the win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way47.9/100 rating
Eagles Dream
11.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Eagles Dream

Eagles Dream holds a clear edge in the ratings over this field, sitting eight pounds ahead of the next-best pair Thats My Boy Luke and Book Of Life, though the confidence behind this selection is modest and any one of those three dangers, along with King Sharja, could outrun their ratings on the day. The good ground at Musselburgh over eight furlongs should be a fair test, and on paper Eagles Dream has the strongest profile in a Class 6 contest where the remainder are closely bunched. The selection is Eagles Dream.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Eagles Dream

Lexie Clarkson(7) · Tristan Davidson · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 47.9 · +5.3 clear of next best (42.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Tristan Davidson: 4/12 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 55 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    15weak
    Last 6: 5-8-8-0-5
MarketBest price 11.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.85
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.97
High (7–9)
IV 1.20

Today: Due Respect (draw 8) and Book Of Life (draw 7) get the bias; Eagles Dream (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Tom Kiely-Marshall · T: Ruth Carr · draw 5
6yo · G · b
240562
5139.1
9/2·5.50
SP
23
J: Jake Dickson(3) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1
5yo · G · chb
704563
5342.6
5/2F·3.50
SP
36
J: Shay Farmer(3) · T: Catch Bissett · draw 8
4yo · F · bv
489528
4942.6
7/1·8.00
SP
41
J: Ethan Tindall(3) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 7
6yo · G · grp
452732
5636.8
11/2·6.50
SP
58
4yo · F · b
00537
4430.1
12/1·13.00
SP
69
J: Cian Horgan(3) · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 4
8yo · G · b
730037
4229.0
4/1·5.00
SP
77
J: Amie Waugh · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6
6yo · G · ch
341855
4841.3
15/2·8.50
SP
85
J: Alex Jary · T: Linda Perratt · draw 3
4yo · G · bp
895188
5036.1
50/1·51.00
SP
——
4yo · F · b
58805
5547.9—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:07 Musselburgh on 12 September 2026?

King Sharja (GB) won the 16:07 Musselburgh at SP 5.50. Ridden by Tom Kiely-Marshall. Trained by Ruth Carr.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:07 Musselburgh?

No — the AI top pick (Eagles Dream) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 16:07 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. King Sharja (GB) (5.50), 2. Thats My Boy Luke (GB) (3.50), 3. Due Respect (IRE) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:07 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 1m 40.63s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org