Who won the 18:50 Musselburgh on 12 September 2026?
Boxing Great (IRE) won the 18:50 Musselburgh at SP 1.83. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Karl Thornton.
18:50 Musselburgh
Scots Association Musselburgh Gold Cup Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
2m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners · £10,308 · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 5/6F·1.83Race report
- 1stBoxing Great (IRE)AI top pick · 62.6Jason Hart·Karl Thornton5/6F·1.83SP
- 2ndFast Fred (GB)Sam James·Phillip Makin·beaten 4.75 lengths100/30·4.33SP
- 3rdTrojan Sun (GB)Amie Waugh·Jim Goldie·beaten 1.25 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
3m 58.25s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Boxing Great (IRE))
“Settled just off the pace early - up to 4th by halfway - into 3rd with 4f remaining - shared the front spot 3f out - edged ahead 2f out under pressure - pulled well away inside the final furlong for an easy win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way44.4/100 rating
Trojan Sun
11.00LiveScore Bet
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Sax Appeal
Sax Appeal heads this Musselburgh staying contest narrowly ahead of the chief dangers on our ratings, and the form profile gives good reason to side with him confidently over the extended distance on good ground. Wahraan and Boxing Great represent the most likely threats, with the former sitting just five pounds below our selection and capable of making this competitive, while Fast Fred cannot be entirely dismissed either. That said, the rating edge allied to the class of performance Sax Appeal has shown makes him the standout proposition in what is otherwise a fairly open Class 4 field. Sax Appeal is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Boxing Great
Jason Hart · Karl Thornton · 6yo
Top-rated of 7
score 62.6 · +10.0 clear of next best (52.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)Karl Thornton: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong8d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight65strongLast 6: 8-6-8-1-1
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
MarketBest price 2.00 (Hollywood Bets) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 2m2f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.17
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.64
High (6–7)
IV 1.13
Today: Fast Fred (draw 1) and Trojan Sun (draw 3) get the bias; Boxing Great (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 54 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Jason Hart · T: Karl Thornton · draw 4 6yo · G · cht | 86811 | 78 | 62.6 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin · draw 1 6yo · G · bp | 840222 | 75 | 52.6 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 6yo · G · bp | 630736 | 72 | 44.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 365333 | 84 | 49.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 6 8yo · G · bt | 625450 | 62 | 36.3 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: David Nolan · T: Jessica Bedi · draw 2 8yo · G · cht | 64052 | 80 | 43.4 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Donald McCain · draw 5 7yo · G · bp | 83547 | 70 | 42.2 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:50 Musselburgh?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Boxing Great, won the race (AI score 62.6).
What were the placings in the 18:50 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Boxing Great (IRE) (1.83), 2. Fast Fred (GB) (4.33), 3. Trojan Sun (GB) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:50 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 3m 58.25s.
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