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15:15 Bath

Loud Hire Staging Hire Bath Summer Stayers' Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only) (GBBPlus Race)

1m6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 12 runners · £20,616 · Sunday, 13 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 10th
  1. 1st
    Boilermaker (FR)
    Luke Morris·Harry Charlton
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    The Craftymaster (GB)
    Myla Coppins·Tony Carroll·beaten 0.3 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Percy Jones (GB)
    Paddy Bradley·Mark Loughnane·beaten 1 length
    14/1·15.00
    SP
Race time
3m 7.90s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Boilermaker (FR))

“Hazy conditions early - into the front rank - hit the front 6f out - soon overtaken and stayed in touch - pushed along to press leader 2f out - regained command inside final furlong and stayed on strongly”

AI top-rated Belle Of Kt (score 60.7) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way60.7/100 rating
Belle Of Kt
11.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Curran

Curran may sit a few pounds behind the top-rated Taritino on these figures, but a progressive profile suggests there is more to come from this runner over fourteen furlongs on good ground at Bath, and the step up in class looks well within reach for a horse trending in the right direction. Taritino heads the field on raw ratings and must be respected as the most obvious danger, while Boilermaker and Percy Jones also carry enough ability to make this competitive throughout the fourteen-runner field. The selection's upward trajectory gives the edge here, and Curran is taken to deliver on that promise.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Belle Of Kt

Millie Wonnacott(5) · J S Moore · 5yo

Top-rated of 13
score 60.7 · +4.9 clear of next best (55.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    87very strong
    Last 6: 3-1-1-1-1-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    J S Moore: 3/15 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70 — above field median
MarketBest price 11.00 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bath 1m6f

full course data →

Strong: middle favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–5)
IV 0.88
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.36
High (11–14)
IV 0.83

Today: Belle Of Kt (draw 8) and The Craftymaster (draw 6) get the bias; Noble Grace (draw 14) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Luke Morris · T: Harry Charlton · draw 5
3yo · G · chp
423211
7455.7
11/8F·2.38
SP
210
J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 6
6yo · G · cht
512112
5951.1
11/1·12.00
SP
34
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 7
7yo · G · b
836442
7040.5
14/1·15.00
SP
41
J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 4
6yo · G · b
211446
7550.0
11/1·12.00
SP
57
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Jeremy Scott · draw 10
6yo · G · btp
852434
6351.0
16/1·17.00
SP
62
J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Rod Millman · draw 12
5yo · G · ch
165120
7240.7
14/1·15.00
SP
79
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 14
5yo · M · b
47413
6047.1
16/1·17.00
SP
813
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 1
4yo · G · bp
713353
4937.2
66/1·67.00
SP
98
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Ed de Giles · draw 11
6yo · G · chb
414242
6041.7
25/1·26.00
SP
103
J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: J S Moore · draw 8
5yo · M · ch
311113
7060.7
13/2·7.50
SP
1112
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Nikki Evans · draw 13
8yo · G · bt
413446
5035.7
40/1·41.00
SP
126
8yo · G · bb
824432
6549.1
12/1·13.00
SP
——
6yo · G · gr
69435
4737.6—
——
J: Tyler Heard · T: Jeff Mullins · draw 3
7yo · M · bp
313622
5555.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:15 Bath on 13 September 2026?

Boilermaker (FR) won the 15:15 Bath at SP 2.38. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by Harry Charlton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Bath?

No — the AI top pick (Belle Of Kt) finished 10.

What were the placings in the 15:15 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Boilermaker (FR) (2.38), 2. The Craftymaster (GB) (12.00), 3. Percy Jones (GB) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:15 Bath?

The winning time was 3m 7.90s.

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