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RacingAlpha

Bet @racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 10 runners · £3,140 · Monday, 14 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Snooker McCrew (GB)
    Alfie Redman·Max Comley
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Celtic John (IRE)
    Finlay Bassett·Pat Phelan·beaten 2 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lovely Jubly (GB)
    Owen Lewis·Michael Attwater·beaten .75 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 39.34s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Snooker McCrew (GB))

“Set the pace early - driven and challenged 2f out - lost front spot over a furlong out - fought back to retake command in the final furlong and kept going to win”

AI top-rated Ivat Ghia (score 51.1) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way38.0/100 rating
Lovely Jubly
6.60Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Mbappe

Mbappe holds a progressive profile that makes him an appealing alternative to the top-rated Ocean Force, even though our ratings place him narrowly behind the head of the market on paper, and it is that upward trajectory rather than raw figures alone which justifies the preference here. Ocean Force and Knightmare are the most obvious dangers given their loftier ratings, while Calaxy also merits respect in what is a competitive Class 6 contest over this mile trip on the Kempton all-weather. Confidence is modest, and punters should be aware this is not a race to get carried away with, but a horse still finding improvement is always worth siding with at this level. The selection is Mbappe.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ivat Ghia

Oliver Carmichael · Mark Usher · 3yo

Top-rated of 11
score 51.1 · +1.9 clear of next best (49.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Mark Usher: 4/12 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    42below average
    Last 6: 8-6-6-2-2-8
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 49
MarketBest price 81.00 (Virgin Bet) · 6th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.17
High (9–11)
IV 0.80

Today: Celtic John (draw 5) and Lovely Jubly (draw 7) get the bias; Ocean Force (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Alfie Redman · T: Max Comley · draw 6
5yo · G · ch
17556
4731.5
11/1·12.00
SP
29
J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: Pat Phelan · draw 5
5yo · G · ch
744067
4443.3
11/1·12.00
SP
31
J: Owen Lewis · T: Michael Attwater · draw 7
5yo · M · b
01681
5538.0
9/2·5.50
SP
46
J: Zoe Lewis(3) · T: David Flood · draw 9
4yo · G · b
23008
5230.6
3/1F·4.00
SP
54
J: Amy Tucker(7) · T: David Evans · draw 2
4yo · G · bb
222125
5449.2
15/2·8.50
SP
611
J: Oliver Carmichael · T: Mark Usher · draw 4
3yo · F · ch
866228
4951.1
9/2·5.50
SP
78
J: Myla Coppins · T: Tony Carroll · draw 8
4yo · F · br
80604
4532.9
33/1·34.00
SP
810
J: Alexandra Egan · T: Adam Kirby · draw 3
4yo · F · bt
73800
4333.0
9/1·10.00
SP
92
J: Hope Regan(5) · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 1
4yo · F · b
8469
5532.0
25/1·26.00
SP
105
J: Donagh Murphy · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 10
5yo · G · bp
167657
5429.8
17/2·9.50
SP
——
J: Toby Moore · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 11
5yo · G · grtFT T
75566
5434.6—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:30 Kempton (AW) on 14 September 2026?

Snooker McCrew (GB) won the 17:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 12.00. Ridden by Alfie Redman. Trained by Max Comley.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Ivat Ghia) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Snooker McCrew (GB) (12.00), 2. Celtic John (IRE) (12.00), 3. Lovely Jubly (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 39.34s.

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