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1m · Flat · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 10 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 14 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/4F·3.75
  1. 1st
    Decalogue (USA)AI top pick · 53.6
    William Carver·Jamie Osborne
    11/4F·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Berkshire Boom (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.3 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Unionville (GB)
    Owen Lewis·Michael Attwater·beaten 1.5 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 39.24s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Decalogue (USA))

“Settled towards the back early - urged forward with two furlongs left - made rapid progress inside the final furlong to get up right on the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way53.6/100 rating
Decalogue
4.50Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Decalogue

Decalogue heads this ten-runner Class 5 contest at Kempton on the all-weather with a clear advantage over his rivals on our assessments, sitting six pounds clear of Bird Of War and a full ten ahead of Ahead Of Fashion and Paranjape, who share third billing among the dangers. Bird Of War will need to find improvement to trouble the selection, while Ahead Of Fashion and Paranjape could make the frame if Decalogue encounters any trouble in running over this mile trip on a standard-to-slow surface. The case for Decalogue is a straightforward one given his superiority in the ratings and the step up to eight furlongs looks well within his compass. Decalogue is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Decalogue

William Carver · Jamie Osborne · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 53.6 · +0.3 clear of next best (53.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    11d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    Jamie Osborne: 3/12 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Form20% weight
    54average
    Last 6: 6-8-4-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 4.50 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.17
High (8–10)
IV 0.80

Today: Unionville (draw 6) and Flyta (draw 7) get the bias; Berkshire Boom (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 2
3yo · G · bpFT P
68432
7053.6
11/4F·3.75
SP
29
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8
3yo · G · b
632503
6249.3
3/1·4.00
SP
32
J: Owen Lewis(5) · T: Michael Attwater · draw 6
3yo · G · b
788341
6943.3
11/2·6.50
SP
47
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Charles Hills · draw 1
3yo · C · b
85363
6453.2
3/1·4.00
SP
58
J: Jack Callan · T: S. P. C. Woods · draw 9
3yo · G · bp
274603
6344.5
20/1·21.00
SP
63
J: Luke Morris · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 7
3yo · F · bt
402128
6942.3
18/1·19.00
SP
74
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4
3yo · F · b
26577
6841.7
22/1·23.00
SP
810
3yo · G · b
724564
5833.9
20/1·21.00
SP
96
J: Amy Tucker(7) · T: David Evans · draw 3
3yo · G · b
02205
6443.0
50/1·51.00
SP
105
J: Hector Crouch · T: Mark Rimell · draw 10
3yo · G · bht
05149
6639.6
33/1·34.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:00 Kempton (AW) on 14 September 2026?

Decalogue (USA) won the 18:00 Kempton (AW) at SP 3.75. Ridden by William Carver. Trained by Jamie Osborne.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Decalogue, won the race (AI score 53.6).

What were the placings in the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Decalogue (USA) (3.75), 2. Berkshire Boom (IRE) (4.00), 3. Unionville (GB) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 39.24s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org