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RacingAlpha

Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 9 runners · £7,020 · Monday, 14 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/8F·2.38
  1. 1st
    National Honour (IRE)AI top pick · 75.0
    Toby Moore·Charlie Appleby
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Solar Swing (IRE)
    Jack Callan·George Boughey·beaten 1.25 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Rupert The Brave (IRE)
    Kieran Shoemark·Oliver Cole·beaten .5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 25.78s

Race time recorded.

In-running (National Honour (IRE))

“Settled in the pack early - urged forward and made ground 2f out - drifted left under pressure inside the final furlong - responded and stayed on strongly - went in front close home to score comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way75.0/100 rating
National Honour
10.00SportingIndex
Place portion settles at 2.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

National Honour

Toby Moore(7) · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 75.0 · +45.7 clear of next best (29.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 9/22 winners last 14d (41%)
  • Form20% weight
    93very strong
    Last 6: 2-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    31d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    56average
    OR 84 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 10.00 (SportingIndex) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.05
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.17
High (7–9)
IV 0.80

Today: Farasan (draw 5) and Gut Reaction (draw 4) get the bias; National Honour (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 7
2yo · C · b
21
8475.0
11/8F·2.38
SP
27
J: Jack Callan · T: George Boughey · draw 9
2yo · C · b
4
—28.5
5/2·3.50
SP
36
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Oliver Cole · draw 2
2yo · C · btFT T
93
—25.4
9/2·5.50
SP
42
2yo · C · ch
64
—29.3
7/2·4.50
SP
55
J: Rowan Scott · T: David Loughnane · draw 8
2yo · C · b
3
—22.0
125/1·126.00
SP
69
J: William Carver · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1
2yo · F · b
——25.5
40/1·41.00
SP
73
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Oliver Cole · draw 4
2yo · G · b
——23.5
33/1·34.00
SP
84
J: Luke Morris · T: John Butler · draw 6
2yo · G · ch
8
—17.0
250/1·251.00
SP
98
J: Kieren Fox · T: John Butler · draw 3
2yo · C · bhFT H
——23.0
150/1·151.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:30 Kempton (AW) on 14 September 2026?

National Honour (IRE) won the 18:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 2.38. Ridden by Toby Moore. Trained by Charlie Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, National Honour, won the race (AI score 75.0).

What were the placings in the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. National Honour (IRE) (2.38), 2. Solar Swing (IRE) (3.50), 3. Rupert The Brave (IRE) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 25.78s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org