Who won the 20:00 Kempton (AW) on 14 September 2026?
Sax Avoidance (IRE) won the 20:00 Kempton (AW) at SP 6.00. Ridden by Kieren Fox. Trained by Charlie Pike.
20:00 Kempton (AW)
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1m3f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 9 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 14 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stSax Avoidance (IRE)Kieren Fox·Charlie Pike5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndExtraterrestrial (IRE)Daniel Muscutt·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 0.3 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdHibernate (IRE)Mason Paetel·Ed Dunlop·beaten 6 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
2m 20.12s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Sax Avoidance (IRE))
“Went straight to front - pushed along from 2f out - locked in a battle from a furlong out - stayed on well approaching the line - held on for the win”
AI top-rated Johnny Boom (score 57.9) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 33.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way51.3/100 rating
Sax Avoidance
7.00BetWright
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Hot Silk
Hot Silk comes into this eleven-furlong Kempton affair on a progressive profile and with a fitness edge that tips the balance in her favour despite sitting a few pounds below the top-rated Extraterrestrial and Johnny Boom, who share the highest marks in the field and must be respected alongside Valentine Boy. The progressive trajectory suggests there may be more to come from Hot Silk, and on a standard-to-slow surface she can be competitive over this trip. Confidence is modest given the narrow margins at the head of affairs, but the case for improvement is compelling enough to make Hot Silk our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Johnny Boom
Myla Coppins(5) · Shaun Lycett · 8yo
Top-rated of 9
score 57.9 · +6.5 clear of next best (51.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=4)Shaun Lycett: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight65strong92d since last run (rusty)
- Form20% weight45below averageLast 6: 7-6-2-3-5
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 67
MarketBest price 101.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 5th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m3f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.99
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.21
High (7–9)
IV 0.83
Today: Hibernate (draw 6) and Extraterrestrial (draw 5) get the bias; Johnny Boom (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Kieren Fox · T: Charlie Pike · draw 1 3yo · F · ch | 5431 | 64 | 51.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 5 3yo · G · ch | 332052 | 68 | 47.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Mason Paetel(3) · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 115242 | 70 | 50.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Jack Callan · T: Roger Teal · draw 4 3yo · G · bpFT P | 11433 | 63 | 44.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Shaun Lycett · draw 9 8yo · G · chp | 76235 | 67 | 57.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Luke Dace · draw 7 4yo · G · grh | 031484 | 66 | 37.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: James Fanshawe · draw 8 3yo · F · bp | 444325 | 67 | 49.1 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Luke Morris · T: David Simcock · draw 2 3yo · C · b | 045 | 59 | 43.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: George Downing · T: Tony Carroll · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 51047 | 65 | 42.1 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Johnny Boom) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 20:00 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Sax Avoidance (IRE) (6.00), 2. Extraterrestrial (IRE) (5.50), 3. Hibernate (IRE) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:00 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 20.12s.
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