Who won the 14:21 Thirsk on 14 September 2026?
Satyress (GB) won the 14:21 Thirsk at SP 2.38. Ridden by Tom Kiely-Marshall. Trained by Harriet Bethell.
14:21 Thirsk
Constant Security Services Apprentice Handicap Stakes
1m4f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 12 runners · £3,140 · Monday, 14 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 11/8F·2.38Race report
- 1stSatyress (GB)AI top pick · 55.0Tom Kiely-Marshall·Harriet Bethell11/8F·2.38SP
- 2ndOff Spin (IRE)Jake Dickson·Tim Easterby·beaten 2.5 lengths6/1·7.00SP
- 3rdHickton (IRE)Cian Horgan·Declan Carroll·beaten 1.75 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
2m 36.37s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Satyress (GB))
“Handy in the pack early - pushed along with 2f left - hit the front over a furlong out - powered clear to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way48.0/100 rating
Dream Of Ithaca
7.80Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Dream Of Ithaca
Dream Of Ithaca sits narrowly behind the top three in the ratings but is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come, making her an interesting proposition over this twelve-furlong trip at Thirsk on good ground. Off Spin heads the field on ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Satyress and Time Twister also pose genuine threats in what looks a competitive Class 6 contest. Confidence is modest given the strength of those dangers, but the upward trajectory of Dream Of Ithaca's form is the deciding factor. The selection is Dream Of Ithaca.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Satyress
Tom Kiely-Marshall · Harriet Bethell · 4yo
Top-rated of 12
score 55.0 · +6.9 clear of next best (48.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight87very strongLast 6: 6-4-1-1-1
- Freshness10% weight70strong11d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=8)Harriet Bethell: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight36below averageOR 54 — above field median
MarketBest price 2.50 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Thirsk 1m4f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.71
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.49
High (9–12)
IV 0.87
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 5 4yo · F · ch | 64111 | 54 | 55.0 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Jake Dickson(3) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 4yo · G · bt | 533263 | 52 | 44.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Cian Horgan(3) · T: Declan Carroll · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 719653 | 54 | 44.3 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Warren Fentiman · T: Olly Williams · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 433238 | 46 | 35.0 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Shay Farmer(3) · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 66458 | 52 | 35.7 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: William Pyle · T: John Dawson · draw 9 4yo · G · bp | 67200 | 44 | 38.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Liam Wright · T: John Gallagher · draw 12 3yo · F · b | 455811 | 55 | 48.0 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Lauren Young(3) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8 4yo · F · bhFT H | 964808 | 46 | 34.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Conor Whiteley(3) · T: Samantha & Jacqueline Coward · draw 4 8yo · M · b | 460 | 47 | 25.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | J: Alex Jary · T: Peter Niven · draw 11 3yo · G · bp | 087870 | 45 | 33.7 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 11 | 11 | J: Ethan Tindall(3) · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 10 3yo · G · bvFT V | 394589 | 45 | 28.9 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| PU | 12 | J: Jack Nicholls · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 3yo · G · bb | 05555 | 44 | 37.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:21 Thirsk?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Satyress, won the race (AI score 55.0).
What were the placings in the 14:21 Thirsk?
Top finishers: 1. Satyress (GB) (2.38), 2. Off Spin (IRE) (7.00), 3. Hickton (IRE) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:21 Thirsk?
The winning time was 2m 36.37s.
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