14:51 Thirsk

Patrick Hibbert-Foy Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 16 runners · £3,140 · Monday, 14 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 7/2·4.50

1st
Bladey Lady (IRE)AI top pick · 44.9
David Allan·Tim Easterby
7/2·4.50
SP
2nd
Ma Fille De Reve (GB)
Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll·beaten .75 lengths
9/2·5.50
SP
3rd
Claret And Blues (GB)
Warren Fentiman·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 6 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP

Race time

1m 11.54s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Bladey Lady (IRE))

“settled in the pack - shaken up and angled right approaching 2f out - hit front inside final furlong - kept on to assert under control”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way44.9/100 rating

Bladey Lady

5.20Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Ma Fille de Reve

Ma Fille de Reve sits joint-third in the ratings, five points behind Dream On Kent and a point adrift of Sunrise At Dawn, but her progressive profile gives reason to believe she is still on the upgrade and capable of outrunning those bare numbers in a wide-open Class 6 sprint at Thirsk. Dream On Kent holds the standout rating in the field and must be respected as the chief danger, with Sunrise At Dawn and Baila Morena also possessing the ability to make their presence felt over six furlongs on good ground. Confidence is modest in a competitive sixteen-runner affair, but the upward trajectory of our selection makes her the most interesting proposition. Ma Fille de Reve is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Bladey Lady

David Allan · Tim Easterby · 2yo

Top-rated of 16

score 44.9 · +0.3 clear of next best (44.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
12d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
60average
Last 6: 3-4-7-1
Ratings50% weight
38below average
OR 57
Trainer20% weight
35below average
Tim Easterby: 13/91 winners last 14d (14%)

MarketBest price 5.20 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–6)

IV 0.73

Mid (7–12)

IV 1.08

High (13–17)

IV 1.22

Today: Bladey Lady (draw 13) and Dream On Kent (draw 17) get the bias; Baila Morena (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	6	Bladey Lady J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 13 2yo · F · b	3471	9-01	57	—	—	44.9	7/2·4.50 SP
2	14	Ma Fille de Reve J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 9 2yo · F · b	665	8-07	49	—	—	39.3	9/2·5.50 SP
3	4	Claret And Blues J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 2yo · C · ch	53665	9-03	59	—	—	39.0	11/1·12.00 SP
4	5	Claret Time J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 16 2yo · G · bh	5782	9-01	57	—	—	36.0	6/1·7.00 SP
5	2	Dream On Kent J: P J McDonald · T: David Evans · draw 17 2yo · G · btbFT TB	822698	9-03	59	—	—	42.6	12/1·13.00 SP
6	1	Dissenter J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 6 2yo · F · b	5157	9-09	65	—	—	39.3	3/1F·4.00 SP
7	11	Baila Morena J: Cam Hardie · T: Ollie Pears · draw 2 2yo · F · b	7407	8-11	53	—	—	44.0	20/1·21.00 SP
8	7	Sunrise At Dawn J: Tom Eaves · T: Craig Lidster · draw 8 2yo · F · b	5862	9-00	56	—	—	44.6	33/1·34.00 SP
9	3	Mrs Mole J: Dougie Costello · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 1 2yo · F · b	4933	9-03	59	—	—	37.7	16/1·17.00 SP
10	8	Dadawada J: Faleh Bughanaim · T: Christopher Kellett · draw 11 2yo · F · bh	546	9-00	56	—	—	31.7	50/1·51.00 SP
11	9	River Jordan J: Connor Beasley · T: Phillip Makin · draw 3 2yo · G · b	7576	8-13	55	—	—	34.8	16/1·17.00 SP
12	13	Le Ciel Noble J: Joanna Mason · T: David Evans · draw 4 2yo · G · bvFT V	6540	8-07	49	—	—	35.1	16/1·17.00 SP
13	12	Purrista J: William Pyle · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 15 2yo · F · ch	3059	8-11	53	—	—	34.6	33/1·34.00 SP
14	10	Breaking The Habit J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 14 2yo · G · gr	340	8-13	55	—	—	40.3	40/1·41.00 SP
15	17	Big Bad Storm J: Sean D Bowen · T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos · draw 10 2yo · C · bv	0806	8-03	32	—	—	33.7	50/1·51.00 SP
16	16	Tiger In The Tree J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 12 2yo · F · bp	693367	8-06	48	—	—	39.1	20/1·21.00 SP
—	—	Independent Roze J: Aiden Brookes · T: Lisa Williamson · draw 7 2yo · F · b	559	8-07	49	—	—	28.4	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:51 Thirsk on 14 September 2026?

Bladey Lady (IRE) won the 14:51 Thirsk at SP 4.50. Ridden by David Allan. Trained by Tim Easterby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:51 Thirsk?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Bladey Lady, won the race (AI score 44.9).

What were the placings in the 14:51 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Bladey Lady (IRE) (4.50), 2. Ma Fille De Reve (GB) (5.50), 3. Claret And Blues (GB) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:51 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 11.54s.

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