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15:21 Thirsk

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 4 runners · £11,880 · Monday, 14 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/9F·1.22
  1. 1st
    Majestic Jude (IRE)AI top pick · 37.8
    Cieren Fallon·William Haggas
    2/9F·1.22
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Master Celeritas (GB)
    Jason Hart·John & Sean Quinn·beaten 3 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Diamondsforyou (IRE)
    Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 0.3 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
1m 27.49s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Majestic Jude (IRE))

“Travelled keenly early - tracking the front-runner - pushed alongside approaching 2f out - sent on to take command inside final 2f - opened a decisive advantage in the closing stages - won unchallenged”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.22 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Majestic Jude

Cieren Fallon · William Haggas · 2yo

Top-rated of 4
score 37.8 · +8.7 clear of next best (29.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    77strong
    Last 6: 5-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    William Haggas: 14/57 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 1.33 (Hollywood Bets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.82
Mid (3–3)
IV 1.04
High (4–4)
IV 1.16

Today: Nicamoo (draw 4) gets the bias; Majestic Jude (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 2
2yo · C · b
51
—37.8
2/9F·1.22
SP
22
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 3
2yo · G · b
9
—14.2
9/1·10.00
SP
34
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1
2yo · F · b
2
—29.1
5/1·6.00
SP
43
J: William Pyle · T: David Loughnane · draw 4
2yo · G · b
8
—12.0
150/1·151.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:21 Thirsk on 14 September 2026?

Majestic Jude (IRE) won the 15:21 Thirsk at SP 1.22. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:21 Thirsk?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Majestic Jude, won the race (AI score 37.8).

What were the placings in the 15:21 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Majestic Jude (IRE) (1.22), 2. Master Celeritas (GB) (10.00), 3. Diamondsforyou (IRE) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:21 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 27.49s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org