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RacingAlpha

16:21 Thirsk

decronhorsecare.co.uk Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 10 runners · £3,926 · Monday, 14 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Mo Anam Chara (IRE)
    Jake Dickson·Geoffrey Harker
    5/2J·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Showtown (IRE)
    Tom Eaves·Kevin Ryan·beaten 1.75 lengths
    22/1·23.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Soca Star (IRE)
    Dale Swift·Seb Spencer·beaten 4.25 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
Race time
1m 25.79s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Mo Anam Chara (IRE))

“Settled in the pack wide - urged forward and made ground 3f out - asked for effort 2f out - hit the front approaching final furlong and drifted right - stayed on well to score comfortably”

AI top-rated Kody B (score 49.1) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way44.0/100 rating
Mo Anam Chara
5.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Mo Anam Chara

Mo Anam Chara heads a competitive ten-runner Class 5 contest at Thirsk on good ground and holds a narrow edge over a trio of rivals all rated a pound behind, giving her a slender but genuine claim at the head of affairs over seven furlongs. Showtown, Kody B and Thornaby Annie all arrive in similar form and any one of them could pose a serious threat if the selection fails to produce her best, making this a tight four-way affair at the top of the field. That said, Mo Anam Chara's ability to edge them on balance of form gives her the nod, and she is taken to show enough to come out on top.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Kody B

Joanna Mason · Craig Lidster · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 49.1 · +0.1 clear of next best (49.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    55small sample (n=9)
    Craig Lidster: 2/9 winners last 14d (22%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    24weak
    Last 6: 0-4-5-6-6
MarketBest price 18.50 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.82
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.04
High (8–10)
IV 1.16

Today: Mo Anam Chara (draw 9) and Real Jack (draw 10) get the bias; Napolian (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Geoffrey Harker · draw 9
3yo · F · b
42012
6744.0
5/2J·3.50
SP
29
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 8
3yo · G · bp
045888
6234.8
22/1·23.00
SP
36
J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 6
3yo · F · b
25552
6541.5
14/1·15.00
SP
410
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 10
3yo · G · bvFT V
656772
5936.7
100/30·4.33
SP
53
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 1
3yo · G · b
104726
6946.2
22/1·23.00
SP
62
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 3
3yo · G · bp
3228
7045.1
28/1·29.00
SP
71
J: Joanna Mason · T: Craig Lidster · draw 7
3yo · G · bp
04566
7049.1
12/1·13.00
SP
85
J: Jack Garritty · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 2
3yo · F · chh
217276
6737.2
15/2·8.50
SP
97
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5
3yo · G · bp
116214
6449.1
5/2J·3.50
SP
108
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 4
3yo · G · bt
438768
6345.0
80/1·81.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:21 Thirsk on 14 September 2026?

Mo Anam Chara (IRE) won the 16:21 Thirsk at SP 3.50. Ridden by Jake Dickson. Trained by Geoffrey Harker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:21 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Kody B) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 16:21 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Mo Anam Chara (IRE) (3.50), 2. Showtown (IRE) (23.00), 3. Soca Star (IRE) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:21 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 25.79s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org