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RacingAlpha

16:23 Redcar

Try RacingTV Free Now At racingtv.com/freetrial Fillies' Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners · £3,664 · Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/4·3.75
  1. 1st
    Startling (GB)AI top pick · 53.1
    Jason Hart·John Wainwright
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    All Good (GB)
    Tom Kiely-Marshall·Julie Camacho·beaten 2 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Dragon Spin (GB)
    Clifford Lee·Steph Hollinshead·beaten 1 length
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Race time
57.86s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Startling (GB))

“Sharp break to lead - clear in front throughout - eased home unopposed”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way53.1/100 rating
Startling
5.10Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Canaria Queen

Canaria Queen heads this Redcar five-furlong Class 5 contest on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Dragon Spin and a few pounds clear of Sea Her Excel and the clutch of runners on 70, giving her a modest but genuine edge over her rivals. Dragon Spin represents the most pressing threat as the runner closest to her on ratings, while Sea Her Excel and All Good are capable of making their presence felt if the pace suits. The selection's advantage at the top of the field is slim rather than commanding, so a clean run and a sharp display will be needed to confirm superiority. Canaria Queen is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Startling

Jason Hart · John Wainwright · 4yo

Top-rated of 7
score 53.1 · +3.1 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    80strong
    Last 6: 2-2-4-2-2-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    12d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65
  • Trainer20% weight
    43small sample (n=6)
    John Wainwright: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 5.10 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Redcar 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.02
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.98
High (6–7)
IV 0.99

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
Startling
J: Jason Hart · T: John Wainwright · draw 4
4yo · F · bb
224221
6553.1
11/4·3.75
SP
21
All Good
J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 5
3yo · F · b
871
6946.8
15/2·8.50
SP
34
Dragon Spin
J: Clifford Lee · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 3
3yo · F · b
161405
6639.6
11/4·3.75
SP
42
Canaria Queen
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2
6yo · M · blp
528225
6650.0
9/4F·3.25
SP
53
Sea Her Excel
J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 1
3yo · F · b
315130
6642.5
11/2·6.50
SP
——
Doralee
J: Rowan Scott · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 6
5yo · M · b
423148
5337.3—
——
Marajito
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7
4yo · F · b
654276
6445.7—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:23 Redcar on 15 September 2026?

Startling (GB) won the 16:23 Redcar at SP 3.75. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by John Wainwright.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:23 Redcar?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Startling, won the race (AI score 53.1).

What were the placings in the 16:23 Redcar?

Top finishers: 1. Startling (GB) (3.75), 2. All Good (GB) (8.50), 3. Dragon Spin (GB) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 16:23 Redcar?

The winning time was 57.86s.

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