Who won the 16:54 Redcar on 15 September 2026?
Hurt You Never (IRE) won the 16:54 Redcar at SP 17.00. Ridden by Jack Nicholls. Trained by Adrian Nicholls.
16:54 Redcar
Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 13 runners · £3,140 · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 13thRace report
- 1stHurt You Never (IRE)Jack Nicholls·Adrian Nicholls16/1·17.00SP
- 2ndDc Cogent (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Bryan Smart·beaten .75 lengths14/1·15.00SP
- 3rdHoundhill (GB)Rowan Scott·Nigel Tinkler·beaten 0.1 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
57.26s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Hurt You Never (IRE))
“Settled mid-pack early - pushed along with 2f left and shifted right to find space approaching the furlong marker - powered home under pressure inside the last - hit the front close home to score”
AI top-rated Ice Cold Alex (score 46.4) finished 13th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 22.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way43.6/100 rating
Under The Radar
9.00BetWright
Place portion settles at 3.00 · 1/4 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Houndhill
Houndhill heads the ratings alongside Ice Cold Alex, with Speeding Bullet just a pound behind, making this a tight affair at the top of the field over five furlongs on good ground at Redcar. Houndhill's profile gives enough reason to side with him over his co-rated rival, and on a sound surface in a Class 6 sprint he looks to have the tools to assert. Ice Cold Alex and Speeding Bullet are the primary threats and must be respected, while Muker could outrun his rating if conditions suit. Houndhill is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Ice Cold Alex
Harry Russell · Ollie Pears · 3yo
Top-rated of 14
score 46.4 · +0.0 clear of next best (46.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=8)Ollie Pears: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight42below averageOR 63
- Form20% weight15weakLast 6: 6-4-6-0-8
MarketBest price 81.00 (Virgin Bet) · 13th in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Redcar 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.02
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.98
High (11–14)
IV 0.99
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 7 7yo · M · bpFT P | 559276 | 58 | 32.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 11 4yo · G · b | 368373 | 61 | 35.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 6 3yo · G · bv | 100814 | 64 | 40.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 12 | J: Mark Winn · T: Michael Dods · draw 13 5yo · G · btpFT TP | 344489 | 57 | 34.3 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 14 5yo · G · b | 07752 | 62 | 35.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 9 3yo · G · brpFT P | 669335 | 60 | 43.6 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Molly Keegan-Price(7) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 8 8yo · G · chtFT T | 640088 | 62 | 31.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 8 | 13 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 12 6yo · G · bb | 208313 | 56 | 43.2 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 8yo · G · bp | 726512 | 58 | 46.4 | 4/1F·5.00 SP |
| 10 | 14 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Tina Jackson · draw 5 4yo · F · b | 89433 | 54 | 35.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 11 | 3 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 1 6yo · G · bp | 623468 | 63 | 44.6 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 12 | 2 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 3yo · G · bv | 332225 | 65 | 45.5 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 13 | 7 | J: Harry Russell · T: Ollie Pears · draw 10 3yo · G · bp | 64608 | 63 | 46.4 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 4 6yo · G · b | 50110 | 64 | 46.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:54 Redcar?
No — the AI top pick (Ice Cold Alex) finished 13.
What were the placings in the 16:54 Redcar?
Top finishers: 1. Hurt You Never (IRE) (17.00), 2. Dc Cogent (GB) (15.00), 3. Houndhill (GB) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:54 Redcar?
The winning time was 57.26s.
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