16:59 Wolverhampton (AW)

Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com "Confined" Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D, Which Have Run No More Than Twice) (Div I) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners · £4,320 · Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/9F·1.11

1st
Thames Waterman (GB)AI top pick · 28.0
Finley Marsh·Richard Hughes
1/9F·1.11
SP
2nd
Christmas Is Comin (GB)
Josephine Gordon·Sophie Leech·beaten 3.5 lengths
10/1·11.00
SP
3rd
Lowcountry (GB)
Alec Voikhansky·Tom Ward·beaten 0.2 lengths
40/1·41.00
SP

Race time

1m 14.54s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Thames Waterman (GB))

“Settled up with the pace early - hit the front two out in comfortable style - clear soon after - driven out to hold sway at the finish”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.11 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way18.5/100 rating

Darjeel

5.30Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Thames Waterman

Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes · 2yo

Top-rated of 11

score 28.0 · +4.5 clear of next best (23.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
100very strong
Last 6: 1
Freshness10% weight
65strong
158d since last run (rusty)
Trainer20% weight
8weak
Richard Hughes: 1/35 winners last 14d (3%)
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 1.15 (BetTom) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.24

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.91

High (9–12)

IV 0.83

Today: Picnic Princess (draw 3) and Ghazalia (draw 2) get the bias; Kitty Rey (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 624 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Thames Waterman J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 8 2yo · G · b	1	9-11	—	—	—	28.0	1/9F·1.11 SP
2	5	Christmas Is Comin J: Josephine Gordon · T: Sophie Leech · draw 6 2yo · G · b	5	9-01	—	—	—	16.0	10/1·11.00 SP
3	3	Lowcountry J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Tom Ward · draw 5 2yo · G · ch	0	9-04	—	—	—	10.0	40/1·41.00 SP
4	8	Taranis J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 1 2yo · G · b	7	9-01	—	—	—	16.5	25/1·26.00 SP
5	11	Ghazalia J: Cieren Fallon · T: Hilal Kobeissi · draw 2 2yo · F · b	4	8-10	—	—	—	19.0	11/1·12.00 SP
6	6	Cosmocrat J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 4 2yo · C · ch	—	9-01	—	—	—	15.0	40/1·41.00 SP
7	4	Without Fail J: Rob Hornby · T: Michael Bell · draw 7 2yo · C · b	00	9-04	—	—	—	10.0	50/1·51.00 SP
8	12	Picnic Princess J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 3 2yo · F · b	5	8-10	—	—	—	21.5	20/1·21.00 SP
9	7	Redrosecastana J: Gina Mangan · T: Christopher Kellett · draw 10 2yo · G · ch	97	9-01	—	—	—	12.4	125/1·126.00 SP
10	10	Kitty Rey J: Sean Dylan Bowen · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 12 2yo · F · bhFT H	—	8-13	—	—	—	23.5	20/1·21.00 SP
—	—	Amorance J: George Wood · T: James Horton · draw 11 2yo · F · b	—	8-13	—	—	—	20.5	—
—	—	Darjeel J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 9 3yo · C · b	5	9-04	—	—	—	18.5	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:59 Wolverhampton (AW) on 15 September 2026?

Thames Waterman (GB) won the 16:59 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 1.11. Ridden by Finley Marsh. Trained by Richard Hughes.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:59 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Thames Waterman, won the race (AI score 28.0).

What were the placings in the 16:59 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Thames Waterman (GB) (1.11), 2. Christmas Is Comin (GB) (11.00), 3. Lowcountry (GB) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:59 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 14.54s.

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