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18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners · £5,400 · Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Not That Guy (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·Hugo Palmer
    1/1F·2.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Inkberrow (IRE)
    Harry Davies·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 0.3 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ennoble (IRE)
    Cam Hardie·Antony Brittain·beaten 2 lengths
    40/1·41.00
    SP
Race time
1m 12.90s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Not That Guy (IRE))

“Handy early up with the pace - pushed along with two furlongs left - moved through to hit the front approaching the final furlong - put back in second - dug in to surge clear right at the line”

AI top-rated Dusk Damsel (score 42.8) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 66.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way23.5/100 rating
Inkberrow
12.50Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Dusk Damsel

Millie Wonnacott(5) · J. S. Moore · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 42.8 · +1.5 clear of next best (41.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    42below average
    Last 6: 2-0-5-9-4-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    OR 58
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    J. S. Moore: 2/20 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 160.00 (Matchbook) · 7th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.24
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.91
High (9–12)
IV 0.83

Today: Dusk Damsel (draw 1) and Blazing Gaden (draw 3) get the bias; Ennoble (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 624 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
Not That Guy
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 7
3yo · G · cht
52
—18.9
1/1F·2.00
SP
212
Inkberrow
J: Harry Davies · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 6
3yo · F · b
——23.5
13/2·7.50
SP
34
Ennoble
J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 12
3yo · C · chtFT T
36U54
6741.3
40/1·41.00
SP
46
Iron Dome
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Clive Cox · draw 9
3yo · G · b
4
—21.5
9/4·3.25
SP
51
Beautiful Rumour
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 11
4yo · G · b
94
—13.4
300/1·301.00
SP
611
Dusk Damsel
J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: J. S. Moore · draw 1
3yo · F · b
205942
5842.8
66/1·67.00
SP
78
Oddjob
J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 4
3yo · G · b
45
—19.0
18/1·19.00
SP
85
Flag Of Nations
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 2
3yo · G · b
——19.0
9/2·5.50
SP
99
Sir Chops
J: Luke Catton(3) · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 8
3yo · G · b
——15.0
300/1·301.00
SP
103
Coilltedudeisback
J: Charles Bishop · T: Adam Kirby · draw 10
3yo · G · b
03
—26.5
400/1·401.00
SP
112
Blazing Gaden
J: Dougie Costello · T: D. J. Jeffreys · draw 3
5yo · G · b
94
—24.9
500/1·501.00
SP
1210
Red Melody
J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Lisa Williamson · draw 5
4yo · F · b
——15.0
500/1·501.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:00 Wolverhampton (AW) on 15 September 2026?

Not That Guy (IRE) won the 18:00 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 2.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Hugo Palmer.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Dusk Damsel) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Not That Guy (IRE) (2.00), 2. Inkberrow (IRE) (7.50), 3. Ennoble (IRE) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 12.90s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org