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RacingAlpha

16:17 Yarmouth

Thurlow Nunn Standen Groundcare Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners · £5,653 · Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Hamlet's Night (IRE)
    Luke Morris·James Owen
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Echalar (IRE)AI top pick · 50.3
    Billy Loughnane·Ian Williams·beaten .5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Mythical Guest (IRE)
    Callum Shepherd·George Margarson·beaten 3.75 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
2m 6.22s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Hamlet's Night (IRE))

“Settled in the pack early - urged forward with two furlongs left - quickened swiftly to the front a furlong out - kept finding more to the line - won comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way50.3/100 rating
Echalar
7.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Arthur's Realm

Arthur's Realm heads this seven-runner Class 4 contest over ten furlongs at Yarmouth on soft ground narrowly ahead of the chasing pack, holding an eight-point edge over Hamlet's Night and nine over Percival and Mythical Guest, which represents a meaningful, if not insurmountable, advantage. The soft conditions and the step up to this trip are factors worth monitoring, and Hamlet's Night, Percival and Mythical Guest all have the ability to close that gap if Arthur's Realm fails to reproduce his best form. Confidence is tempered given the closeness of the chasing group, but on the balance of what we know, Arthur's Realm is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Echalar

Billy Loughnane · Ian Williams · 4yo

Top-rated of 8
score 50.3 · +0.3 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    31d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 76
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: 7-0-3-4-7-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Ian Williams: 5/40 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 7.20 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.18
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.09
High (7–8)
IV 0.72

Today: Echalar (draw 3) and Princess Rascal (draw 1) get the bias; Mythical Guest (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 5
5yo · G · bp
76413
8050.0
7/1·8.00
SP
27
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ian Williams · draw 3
4yo · G · bh
703471
7650.3
5/1·6.00
SP
34
6yo · G · b
993430
7849.5
8/1·9.00
SP
45
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 2
4yo · G · b
26189
7846.0
6/1·7.00
SP
58
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 6
8yo · G · bv
07757
7438.3
11/2·6.50
SP
62
J: James Doyle · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 4
4yo · G · b
06345
8046.5
3/1F·4.00
SP
76
5yo · G · bp
02535
7647.3
9/2·5.50
SP
——
J: Ray Dawson · T: Oliver Cole · draw 1
4yo · F · chpFT P
14450
8049.1—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:17 Yarmouth on 15 September 2026?

Hamlet's Night (IRE) won the 16:17 Yarmouth at SP 8.00. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by James Owen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:17 Yarmouth?

No — the AI top pick (Echalar) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:17 Yarmouth?

Top finishers: 1. Hamlet's Night (IRE) (8.00), 2. Echalar (IRE) (6.00), 3. Mythical Guest (IRE) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:17 Yarmouth?

The winning time was 2m 6.22s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org