18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

13:56 Yarmouth

Sea Deer Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 12 runners · £5,653 · Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Tyger Bay (GB)
    Joe Leavy·Conrad Allen
    33/1·34.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hugh (GB)
    David Probert·Clive Cox·beaten .5 lengths
    25/1·26.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Akabusi (GB)
    Grace McEntee·Micky Fenton·beaten 0.05 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.61s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tyger Bay (GB))

“Tracked the front group early - pushed along with 2f left - powered home well inside the final furlong - hit the front 110yds out and won comfortably”

AI top-rated Massimo Blue (score 51.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way51.0/100 rating
Massimo Blue
6.00Virgin Bet
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Nuevo Slovo

Nuevo Slovo sits on an equal rating to Three Non Blondes and six pounds behind the top-rated Tyger Bay, yet a progressive profile makes a compelling case that there is more improvement to come, and good-to-soft ground at Yarmouth over six furlongs looks an ideal opportunity for that upward curve to continue. Tyger Bay commands respect on a rating six pounds clear and must be considered the chief threat, with Three Non Blondes on the same mark as our selection and Flag of St George only a couple of pounds adrift also capable of making their presence felt. The selection is Nuevo Slovo.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Massimo Blue

Billy Loughnane · Dylan Cunha · 4yo

Top-rated of 12
score 51.0 · +1.9 clear of next best (49.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    77strong
    Last 6: 5-5-3-3-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 71
  • Trainer20% weight
    10weak
    Dylan Cunha: 1/25 winners last 14d (4%)
MarketBest price 6.00 (Virgin Bet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.37
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.88
High (9–12)
IV 0.70

Today: Deluded (draw 4) and King of Chaos (draw 3) get the bias; Massimo Blue (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 146 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Joe Leavy · T: Conrad Allen · draw 10
9yo · G · btb
719258
7539.2
33/1·34.00
SP
24
J: David Probert · T: Clive Cox · draw 9
3yo · C · ch
4298
7744.4
25/1·26.00
SP
311
J: Grace McEntee · T: Micky Fenton · draw 6
3yo · G · b
148408
7036.2
16/1·17.00
SP
49
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 4
3yo · G · bpFT P
92335
7546.3
8/1·9.00
SP
410
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 12
4yo · G · b
553311
7151.0
9/4F·3.25
SP
63
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Keady · draw 5
3yo · G · bpFT P
800400
7834.8
14/1·15.00
SP
72
J: David Egan · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 1
5yo · G · bb
58768
7642.3
3/1·4.00
SP
87
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Stuart Williams · draw 7
3yo · G · bt
13006
7649.1
11/1·12.00
SP
95
J: Jack Callan · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 3
3yo · G · ch
317170
7745.1
25/1·26.00
SP
1012
J: George Wood · T: Jessica Macey · draw 2
7yo · G · bv
925382
6537.8
5/1·6.00
SP
118
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Simon Pearce · draw 11
3yo · G · b
70046
7538.9
50/1·51.00
SP
121
J: Tom Marquand · T: Hayley Burton · draw 8
3yo · F · b
153717
8245.3
10/1·11.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:56 Yarmouth on 16 September 2026?

Tyger Bay (GB) won the 13:56 Yarmouth at SP 34.00. Ridden by Joe Leavy. Trained by Conrad Allen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:56 Yarmouth?

No — the AI top pick (Massimo Blue) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 13:56 Yarmouth?

Top finishers: 1. Tyger Bay (GB) (34.00), 2. Hugh (GB) (26.00), 3. Akabusi (GB) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:56 Yarmouth?

The winning time was 1m 11.61s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org