Who won the 13:56 Yarmouth on 16 September 2026?
Tyger Bay (GB) won the 13:56 Yarmouth at SP 34.00. Ridden by Joe Leavy. Trained by Conrad Allen.
Sea Deer Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 12 runners · £5,653 · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Race time recorded.
“Tracked the front group early - pushed along with 2f left - powered home well inside the final furlong - hit the front 110yds out and won comfortably”
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Nuevo Slovo sits on an equal rating to Three Non Blondes and six pounds behind the top-rated Tyger Bay, yet a progressive profile makes a compelling case that there is more improvement to come, and good-to-soft ground at Yarmouth over six furlongs looks an ideal opportunity for that upward curve to continue. Tyger Bay commands respect on a rating six pounds clear and must be considered the chief threat, with Three Non Blondes on the same mark as our selection and Flag of St George only a couple of pounds adrift also capable of making their presence felt. The selection is Nuevo Slovo.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Billy Loughnane · Dylan Cunha · 4yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).
Today: Deluded (draw 4) and King of Chaos (draw 3) get the bias; Massimo Blue (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 146 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Conrad Allen · draw 10 9yo · G · btb | 719258 | 75 | 39.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: David Probert · T: Clive Cox · draw 9 3yo · C · ch | 4298 | 77 | 44.4 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 3 | 11 | J: Grace McEntee · T: Micky Fenton · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 148408 | 70 | 36.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 4 3yo · G · bpFT P | 92335 | 75 | 46.3 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 12 4yo · G · b | 553311 | 71 | 51.0 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Keady · draw 5 3yo · G · bpFT P | 800400 | 78 | 34.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: David Egan · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 1 5yo · G · bb | 58768 | 76 | 42.3 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Stuart Williams · draw 7 3yo · G · bt | 13006 | 76 | 49.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Jack Callan · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 3 3yo · G · ch | 317170 | 77 | 45.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 10 | 12 | J: George Wood · T: Jessica Macey · draw 2 7yo · G · bv | 925382 | 65 | 37.8 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 11 | 8 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Simon Pearce · draw 11 3yo · G · b | 70046 | 75 | 38.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 12 | 1 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Hayley Burton · draw 8 3yo · F · b | 153717 | 82 | 45.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Tyger Bay (GB) won the 13:56 Yarmouth at SP 34.00. Ridden by Joe Leavy. Trained by Conrad Allen.
No — the AI top pick (Massimo Blue) finished 4.
Top finishers: 1. Tyger Bay (GB) (34.00), 2. Hugh (GB) (26.00), 3. Akabusi (GB) (17.00).
The winning time was 1m 11.61s.
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