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14:31 Yarmouth

British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £5,940 · Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Bidsta (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·George Boughey
    1/3F·1.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Faith In Florence (IRE)AI top pick · 49.0
    Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker·beaten .75 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Hoya Bella (GB)
    David Probert·James Owen·beaten 2 lengths
    33/1·34.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.52s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Bidsta (IRE))

“Sat close to the pace early - pushed into command approaching the final furlong and asserted - stayed on firmly to hold sway at the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way49.0/100 rating
Faith In Florence
7.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Faith In Florence

Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 49.0 · +7.0 clear of next best (42.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    40d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    64average
    Last 6: 4-2-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    8weak
    Ed Walker: 1/40 winners last 14d (3%)
MarketBest price 7.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.37
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.88
High (7–8)
IV 0.70

Today: Blue Sign (draw 2) and Bidsta (draw 3) get the bias; Faith In Florence (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 146 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 3
2yo · F · b
2
—35.1
1/3F·1.33
SP
25
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 7
2yo · F · b
423
7949.0
100/30·4.33
SP
37
J: David Probert · T: James Owen · draw 4
2yo · F · b
——20.5
33/1·34.00
SP
48
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 5
2yo · F · bt
43
—25.0
15/2·8.50
SP
53
2yo · F · bt
4085
6842.1
33/1·34.00
SP
61
J: George Wood · T: James Owen · draw 6
2yo · F · b
——20.5
50/1·51.00
SP
74
J: David Egan · T: Tom Clover · draw 8
2yo · F · b
5
—25.5
40/1·41.00
SP
86
J: Grace McEntee · T: Stuart Williams · draw 1
2yo · F · b
75
—26.0
150/1·151.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:31 Yarmouth on 16 September 2026?

Bidsta (IRE) won the 14:31 Yarmouth at SP 1.33. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by George Boughey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:31 Yarmouth?

No — the AI top pick (Faith In Florence) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:31 Yarmouth?

Top finishers: 1. Bidsta (IRE) (1.33), 2. Faith In Florence (IRE) (4.33), 3. Hoya Bella (GB) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:31 Yarmouth?

The winning time was 1m 11.52s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org