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18:00 Bath

Loud Hire Supporting Bath Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 10 runners · £4,397 · Sunday, 13 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 10th
  1. 1st
    Danehill Star (IRE)
    Marco Ghiani·Tony Carroll
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dark Rosa (IRE)
    Luke Morris·Georgina Nicholls·beaten 5.5 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Chelio (GB)
    Rose Dawes·Denis Coakley·beaten 1 length
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
1m 42.01s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Danehill Star (IRE))

“Front from the outset despite murky conditions - opened up a advantage inside the final furlong - held on strongly for the win”

AI top-rated Flag Carrier (score 53.8) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way53.1/100 rating
Mr Tony
8.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Dark Rosa

Dark Rosa heads this eleven-runner Class 5 contest at Bath on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Eutropia, and there is enough of a gap back to the remainder of the field to suggest she holds a clear positional advantage over the wider pack. Eutropia shapes as the most obvious danger just a pound adrift, while Sagremor and Albus Anne will need to be respected if either finds improvement over this mile trip on the undulating Bath track. Confidence is not high in a competitive enough Class 5 heat where the margins at the top are slim, but on balance the ratings edge points one way. Dark Rosa is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Flag Carrier

Jason Watson · Brian Toomey · 5yo

Top-rated of 11
score 53.8 · +0.7 clear of next best (53.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    41d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Brian Toomey: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    54average
    Last 6: 2-4-6-6-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    44below average
    OR 66
MarketBest price 18.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 7th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bath 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.18
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.97
High (9–11)
IV 0.82

Today: Albus Anne (draw 1) and Dappled Light (draw 2) get the bias; Danehill Star (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Tony Carroll · draw 10
5yo · G · bb
332351
6248.0
8/1·9.00
SP
25
J: Luke Morris · T: Georgina Nicholls · draw 9
4yo · F · br
983632
6441.4
6/1·7.00
SP
310
J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Denis Coakley · draw 11
3yo · G · b
26823
6038.6
7/1·8.00
SP
48
J: Jack Callan · T: Owen Burrows · draw 5
3yo · G · bb
04131
6353.1
11/2·6.50
SP
511
J: Isobelle Chalmers(7) · T: J S Moore · draw 8
3yo · F · bb
65085
5240.9
80/1·81.00
SP
63
J: Donagh Murphy(5) · T: Jimmy Fox · draw 1
7yo · M · bh
16746
6547.9
4/1·5.00
SP
74
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 2
6yo · G · bp
611224
6545.9
14/1·15.00
SP
89
J: Jack Doughty · T: David Menuisier · draw 7
3yo · G · bh
48530
6334.8
16/1·17.00
SP
91
J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 3
4yo · F · b
152230
6839.2
3/1F·4.00
SP
102
J: Jason Watson · T: Brian Toomey · draw 6
5yo · G · bb
24661
6653.8
12/1·13.00
SP
——
3yo · G · bbFT B
681546
6439.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:00 Bath on 13 September 2026?

Danehill Star (IRE) won the 18:00 Bath at SP 9.00. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by Tony Carroll.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Bath?

No — the AI top pick (Flag Carrier) finished 10.

What were the placings in the 18:00 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Danehill Star (IRE) (9.00), 2. Dark Rosa (IRE) (7.00), 3. Chelio (GB) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:00 Bath?

The winning time was 1m 42.01s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org