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Next · 22m14:15Listowel

14:15 Yarmouth

Moss And Co Hospitality Nursery Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £3,768 · Thursday, 17 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 7/4F·2.75
  1. 1st
    Ariane Sky (IRE)AI top pick · 46.8
    Rossa Ryan·James Owen
    7/4F·2.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Chaise Longue (GB)
    Robert Havlin·Ed Dunlop·beaten 0.3 lengths
    25/1·26.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Casablanca Dream (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·Marco Botti·beaten .75 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 38.47s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Ariane Sky (IRE))

“Led throughout - driven and closely challenged inside final furlong - held on with resolve to prevail by the narrowest of margins”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way46.3/100 rating
Casablanca Dream
6.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Ariane Sky

Ariane Sky stands out from this field on a rating that puts her clearly ahead of the nearest challengers, with Fortunate, Launchpad and Theft the chief dangers on the day. The eight furlongs on good to soft ground at Yarmouth looks well suited to her profile, and she has the form to back up her superiority in this Class 6 company. Ariane Sky is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ariane Sky

Rossa Ryan · James Owen · 2yo

Top-rated of 12
score 46.8 · +0.5 clear of next best (46.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    35d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    62average
    Last 6: 5-5-4-1-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    James Owen: 4/41 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 3.10 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.08
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.02
High (9–12)
IV 0.89

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 189 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Rossa Ryan · T: James Owen · draw 1
2yo · F · b
55413
6346.8
7/4F·2.75
SP
26
J: Robert Havlin · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 11
2yo · F · b
857
5731.3
25/1·26.00
SP
38
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Marco Botti · draw 2
2yo · F · b
655
5646.3
9/2·5.50
SP
412
J: Harry Davies · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 9
2yo · F · b
475
5037.7
22/1·23.00
SP
511
J: John Egan · T: J. S. Moore · draw 3
2yo · G · blpFT P
85048
5133.5
33/1·34.00
SP
64
2yo · F · b
459315
6340.9
6/1·7.00
SP
75
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Michael Bell · draw 8
2yo · G · b
8592
6138.3
7/2·4.50
SP
87
J: George Wood · T: Nick Littmoden · draw 12
2yo · C · ch
797
5731.4
28/1·29.00
SP
99
J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 6
2yo · F · bbFT B
756
5438.5
9/1·10.00
SP
1010
J: David Egan · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 10
2yo · F · b
0596
5230.5
25/1·26.00
SP
——
J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Robert Edwards · draw 7
2yo · F · b
851U8
6534.3—
——
J: Tom Marquand · T: Oliver Cole · draw 4
2yo · G · chpFT P
8509
6534.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:15 Yarmouth on 17 September 2026?

Ariane Sky (IRE) won the 14:15 Yarmouth at SP 2.75. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by James Owen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:15 Yarmouth?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Ariane Sky, won the race (AI score 46.8).

What were the placings in the 14:15 Yarmouth?

Top finishers: 1. Ariane Sky (IRE) (2.75), 2. Chaise Longue (GB) (26.00), 3. Casablanca Dream (IRE) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:15 Yarmouth?

The winning time was 1m 38.47s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org