Who won the 15:15 Yarmouth on 17 September 2026?
Eighth Immortal (IRE) won the 15:15 Yarmouth at SP 7.00. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Jack Jones.
15:15 Yarmouth
Dan Hague, Rails Bookmaker Nursery Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 8 runners · £5,653 · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stEighth Immortal (IRE)Kieran Shoemark·Jack Jones6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndConciliate (IRE)David Egan·John Butler·beaten 0.3 lengths20/1·21.00SP
- 3rdMirzimaan (IRE)Billy Loughnane·George Boughey·beaten 1 length100/30F·4.33SP
Race time
1m 11.75s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Eighth Immortal (IRE))
“Led throughout setting a firm gallop - eased sideways to the left approaching the furlong marker under pressure - continued to edge left inside the closing stages - found extra when challenged late - held on by a whisker”
AI top-rated Catching Dreams (score 67.7) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way56.7/100 rating
Mirzimaan
7.40Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Bill The Bull
Bill The Bull heads this ten-runner sprint at Yarmouth on good-to-soft ground rated narrowly ahead of the field, and his profile suggests he is capable of making that edge count over six furlongs in a Class 4 contest. Eighth Immortal and Soldier of The Sea are the most serious dangers, with the former carrying the second-highest rating in the field, while Dubai Charm also warrants respect on these terms. The selection may need to be at his best to hold off a competitive group, but the overall balance of form points to Bill The Bull as the one to beat.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Catching Dreams
Toby Moore(7) · Charlie Appleby · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 67.7 · +9.2 clear of next best (58.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongCharlie Appleby: 10/24 winners last 14d (42%)
- Freshness10% weight85very strong42d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight66strongLast 6: 2-3
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
MarketBest price 3.95 (Matchbook) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Yarmouth 6f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.37
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.88
High (9–11)
IV 0.70
Today: Spirit of Lyra (draw 3) and Bill The Bull (draw 1) get the bias; Catching Dreams (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 146 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Jack Jones · draw 5 2yo · C · chp | 2332 | 77 | 56.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: David Egan · T: John Butler · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 7310 | 78 | 51.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 0120 | 81 | 56.7 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 230130 | 82 | 46.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 9 2yo · C · b | 23 | 78 | 67.7 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: William Carson · T: Adam Kirby · draw 1 2yo · C · bt | 341809 | 83 | 49.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Michael Bell · draw 11 2yo · C · ch | 303 | 76 | 41.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Knight · draw 10 2yo · C · b | 124 | 86 | 54.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 612 | 75 | 53.6 | — |
| — | — | J: Harry Davies · T: George Margarson · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 30854 | 74 | 49.0 | — |
| — | — | J: Taylor Fisher · T: William Knight · draw 3 2yo · F · gr | 412 | 81 | 58.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Yarmouth?
No — the AI top pick (Catching Dreams) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 15:15 Yarmouth?
Top finishers: 1. Eighth Immortal (IRE) (7.00), 2. Conciliate (IRE) (21.00), 3. Mirzimaan (IRE) (4.33).
What was the winning time for the 15:15 Yarmouth?
The winning time was 1m 11.75s.
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