Who won the 14:30 Ayr on 17 September 2026?
Geo (IRE) won the 14:30 Ayr at SP 8.50. Ridden by Paul Mulrennan. Trained by Jim Goldie.
14:30 Ayr
British Stallion Studs Scottish Premier Series EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners · £8,898 · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stGeo (IRE)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie15/2·8.50SP
- 2ndKrissy (IRE)Rhys Elliott·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.3 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdThankfully (IRE)Sam James·K. R. Burke·beaten .5 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
2m 23.09s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Geo (IRE))
“Settled just behind the pace - pushed along over 2f out - moved through to hit the front a furlong out - stayed on strongly to the line - won comfortably”
AI top-rated Darzah (score 59.2) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Thankfully
Thankfully heads this seven-runner Ayr contest over ten furlongs on good-to-soft ground, rated narrowly ahead of Darzah and a few pounds clear of Valley of Flowers and Geo, who represent the main dangers as the field shapes up on what looks a competitive card for the class. Darzah will press hardest given her proximity in the ratings, while Valley of Flowers and Geo could make this competitive if the ground suits, so the selection cannot be taken entirely on trust. That said, Thankfully's rating edge, modest as it is, gives her the best case on paper, and she is the one to side with.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Darzah
Daniel Tudhope · William Haggas · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 59.2 · +8.0 clear of next best (51.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong32d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight61averageLast 6: 5-1-8-1-5-2
- Trainer20% weight58averageWilliam Haggas: 17/73 winners last 14d (23%)
- Ratings50% weight54averageOR 81 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.76
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.06
High (6–7)
IV 1.20
Today: Krissy (draw 6) and Sweet Kiss (draw 7) get the bias; Darzah (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 57 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2 4yo · F · bp | 422346 | 68 | 48.9 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6 5yo · M · b | 061492 | 75 | 51.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 150897 | 75 | 50.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Samantha & Jacqueline Coward · draw 3 8yo · M · b | 241461 | 74 | 47.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 4yo · F · bp | 562622 | 61 | 45.7 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 4 3yo · F · bhFT H | 533046 | 67 | 42.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: William Haggas · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 518152 | 81 | 59.2 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Darzah) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 14:30 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Geo (IRE) (8.50), 2. Krissy (IRE) (10.00), 3. Thankfully (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:30 Ayr?
The winning time was 2m 23.09s.
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