13:02 Newbury

Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes (Group 3)

5f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £56,710 · Saturday, 19 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th

1st
Miss Yechance (IRE)
Jack Nicholls·K. R. Burke
12/1·13.00
SP
2nd
Shagraan (IRE)
Silvestre De Sousa·Clive Cox·beaten 0.3 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP
3rd
Diligent Harry (GB)
Ryan Moore·Clive Cox·beaten 2 lengths
18/1·19.00
SP

Race time

59.01s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Miss Yechance (IRE))

“Set the pace from the off - challenged and driven along 2f out - responded to hold rivals off through the final furlong - held on to the finish”

AI top-rated Naana's Sparkle (score 66.7) finished 8th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way63.3/100 rating

First Instinct

8.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Starlust

Starlust rates a pound behind the top-rated Diligent Harry on these figures, but a progressive profile and a fitness edge make a compelling case for reversing that narrow deficit over this testing five furlongs at Newbury. Diligent Harry, First Instinct and Shagraan are the principal dangers in what looks a fiercely competitive Class 1 sprint, and Diligent Harry in particular cannot be dismissed lightly given his lofty rating. On balance, however, the upward trajectory and sharpness of condition point to Starlust as the likeliest winner.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Naana's Sparkle

Kieran O'Neill · Lemos De Souza · 4yo

Top-rated of 11

score 66.7 · +3.4 clear of next best (63.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
67strong
Last 6: 1-4-1-2-0-1
Ratings50% weight
67strong
OR 100
Trainer20% weight
50small sample (n=5)
Lemos De Souza: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 15.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newbury 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.00

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.93

High (9–11)

IV 1.07

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	11	Miss Yechance J: Jack Nicholls · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6 3yo · F · ch	542731	8-13	97	—	—	62.4	12/1·13.00 SP
2	4	Shagraan J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Clive Cox · draw 4 5yo · G · chpFT P	13007	9-03	104	—	—	52.6	11/1·12.00 SP
3	1	Diligent Harry J: Ryan Moore · T: Clive Cox · draw 8 8yo · G · bp	11448	9-03	109	—	—	59.2	18/1·19.00 SP
4	5	Starlust J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 9 5yo · H · b	60424	9-03	112	—	—	60.6	9/4F·3.25 SP
5	10	First Instinct J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 5 4yo · F · br	09025	9-00	105	—	—	63.3	6/1·7.00 SP
6	3	Redorange J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Clive Cox · draw 2 4yo · G · bt	81410	9-03	108	—	—	61.9	3/1·4.00 SP
7	9	Azure Angel J: Connor Beasley · T: Edward Bethell · draw 7 6yo · M · chtv	150500	9-00	101	—	—	55.3	25/1·26.00 SP
8	2	Naana's Sparkle J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 3 4yo · G · bt	141201	9-03	100	—	—	66.7	12/1·13.00 SP
9	7	Dickensian J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 1 3yo · C · b	10703	9-02	108	—	—	52.4	7/1·8.00 SP
10	6	Aspect Island J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 10 3yo · G · chp	730028	9-02	107	—	—	53.7	28/1·29.00 SP
11	8	Hallo Spaceboy J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 11 3yo · C · b	12218	9-02	89	—	—	53.2	33/1·34.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:02 Newbury on 19 September 2026?

Miss Yechance (IRE) won the 13:02 Newbury at SP 13.00. Ridden by Jack Nicholls. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:02 Newbury?

No — the AI top pick (Naana's Sparkle) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 13:02 Newbury?

Top finishers: 1. Miss Yechance (IRE) (13.00), 2. Shagraan (IRE) (12.00), 3. Diligent Harry (GB) (19.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:02 Newbury?

The winning time was 59.01s.

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