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RacingAlpha

13:37 Newbury

Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

1m5½f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £30,924 · Saturday, 19 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Pearl River (GB)
    Silvestre De Sousa·Richard Hannon
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Bulletin (IRE)
    Ray Dawson·Jonathan Portman·beaten 2.5 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Primo Lara (IRE)
    Ryan Moore·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten 2 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Race time
2m 46.40s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Pearl River (GB))

“Set the pace from the off - pushed along with 3f left - clear by a length approaching final two furlongs then two clear entering last - stayed on strongly for the win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way64.3/100 rating
Primo Lara
5.10Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: French Duke

French Duke arrives at Newbury on a progressive profile that makes his raw rating of 105 look a potentially flattering snapshot of what is still an improving performer, and over fourteen furlongs on good ground he has every chance of outrunning those figures. Furthur heads the field on a rating of 110 and is narrowly ahead of Roaring Legend on 106, with Real Dream on 104 also meriting respect as the principal dangers, yet a horse still finding its feet at this level can be a more potent proposition than a rival who may already be at the top of his curve. The confidence here is measured rather than absolute, but the trajectory points clearly in one direction, and the selection is French Duke.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Fantasy World

Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding · 4yo

Top-rated of 12
score 65.4 · +1.0 clear of next best (64.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    68strong
    OR 102 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    54average
    Last 6: 1-5-3-1-7
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Andrew Balding: 19/92 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketBest price 31.00 (7Bet) · 12th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newbury 1m5½f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.88
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.08
High (9–12)
IV 1.06

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 25 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
112
3yo · C · b
120542
8848.5
9/2·5.50
SP
210
J: Ray Dawson · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 5
4yo · G · b
243425
8649.1
15/2·8.50
SP
39
J: Ryan Moore · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 12
5yo · G · ch
251141
9064.3
11/4·3.75
SP
47
J: Charles Bishop · T: Ian Williams · draw 7
7yo · G · bt
077070
9447.8
28/1·29.00
SP
51
J: Colin Keane · T: Olly Murphy · draw 4
6yo · G · grtp
22652
10558.7
18/1·19.00
SP
64
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 10
5yo · G · b
160662
10262.5
5/2F·3.50
SP
711
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Ian Williams · draw 6
7yo · G · btv
78875
8446.7
14/1·15.00
SP
82
J: William Buick · T: Andrew Balding · draw 11
4yo · G · brp
46040
10458.7
9/1·10.00
SP
98
J: Sean Levey · T: Faye Bramley · draw 8
4yo · G · bp
08110
9252.8
18/1·19.00
SP
——
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2
4yo · G · b
65000
9444.9—
——
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1
4yo · G · btFT T
15317
10265.4—
——
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Alan King · draw 3
6yo · G · b
20206
9750.8—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:37 Newbury on 19 September 2026?

Pearl River (GB) won the 13:37 Newbury at SP 5.50. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by Richard Hannon.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:37 Newbury?

No — the AI top pick (Fantasy World) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 13:37 Newbury?

Top finishers: 1. Pearl River (GB) (5.50), 2. Bulletin (IRE) (8.50), 3. Primo Lara (IRE) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 13:37 Newbury?

The winning time was 2m 46.40s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org