Who won the 16:30 Newbury on 19 September 2026?
Abundant (IRE) won the 16:30 Newbury at SP 1.40. Ridden by Sean Levey. Trained by Tom Ward.
16:30 Newbury
Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 3 runners · £13,085 · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stAbundant (IRE)Sean Levey·Tom Ward2/5F·1.40SP
- 2ndStarlight Time (GB)Ray Dawson·Roger Varian·beaten 1.5 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdAura Champagne (IRE)Jamie Spencer·Richard Hannon·beaten 1.5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
1m 38.27s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Abundant (IRE))
“Raced eagerly early - set the pace throughout - pressed for effort 2f out and drifted right approaching final furlong - stayed on to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.40 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way66.2/100 rating
Drymee
5.50Hollywood Bets
Place portion settles at 1.90 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Astrazar
Astrazar heads this ten-runner Newbury mile contest on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Abundant and Storming Point, who both pose genuine threats on their own merits, with Back To Me also capable of making life difficult if producing a career-best effort on good ground. The selection's edge over the field is slender, and any one of those three rivals could overturn it on the day, so this is far from a straightforward call. That said, Astrazar's position at the top of the ratings offers just enough reason to side with her, and on balance she merits the vote. The selection is Astrazar.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Drymee
Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 66.2 · +10.6 clear of next best (55.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight84very strongLast 6: 7-1-1-3-1
- Ratings50% weight58averageOR 87 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight53averageJames Fanshawe: 5/24 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketBest price 5.50 (Hollywood Bets) · 3rd in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newbury 1m
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.16
High (8–10)
IV 0.86
Today: Storming Point (draw 7) and Astrazar (draw 6) get the bias; Abundant (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Sean Levey · T: Tom Ward · draw 8 3yo · G · ch | 43351 | 85 | 51.2 | 2/5F·1.40 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 2 3yo · C · b | 88517 | 84 | 50.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Richard Hannon · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 3332 | 76 | 47.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 13 | 81 | 55.7 | — |
| — | — | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 6 3yo · G · bbFT B | 97420 | 84 | 45.4 | — |
| — | — | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Patrick Chamings · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 16200 | 82 | 42.3 | — |
| — | — | J: Ryan Moore · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 7 3yo · C · bp | 32265 | 84 | 45.6 | — |
| — | — | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 71131 | 87 | 66.2 | — |
| — | — | J: Charles Bishop · T: Ian Williams · draw 10 3yo · G · bhFT H | 40300 | 77 | 42.2 | — |
| — | — | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Denis Coakley · draw 9 3yo · G · ch | 31079 | 69 | 36.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Newbury?
No — the AI top pick (Drymee) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 16:30 Newbury?
Top finishers: 1. Abundant (IRE) (1.40), 2. Starlight Time (GB) (5.50), 3. Aura Champagne (IRE) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:30 Newbury?
The winning time was 1m 38.27s.
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