Who won the 16:07 Newbury on 18 September 2026?
Catullus (IRE) won the 16:07 Newbury at SP 3.00. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Charlie Appleby.
16:07 Newbury
Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed Race)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 8 runners · £34,026 · Friday, 18 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 2/1J·3.00Race report
- 1stCatullus (IRE)AI top pick · 73.6William Buick·Charlie Appleby2/1J·3.00SP
- 2ndLeading Dancer (IRE)Sean Levey·K. R. Burke·beaten 3.5 lengths22/1·23.00SP
- 3rdElarak (GB)David Probert·Charles Hills·beaten 1 length3/1·4.00SP
Race time
1m 23.37s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Catullus (IRE))
“Set the pace early - lost the front but stayed in touch after 2f - driven back to the front approaching the final furlong - pulled clear with ease - won going away”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way69.8/100 rating
Elarak
5.70Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Spy Chief
Spy Chief heads this competitive seven-furlong Class 1 field at Newbury on a rating that places him narrowly ahead of Zoum Zoum and a few pounds clear of Elarak and Myal, though the margins are tight enough to keep confidence modest. Zoum Zoum and Elarak both carry strong form claims and could easily reverse matters on these ratings, while Myal merits respect in what amounts to a genuinely open contest. On balance, Spy Chief's edge at the head of the ratings gives him a slim case as the one to be with. The selection is Spy Chief.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Catullus
William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 73.6 · +3.8 clear of next best (69.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongCharlie Appleby: 9/21 winners last 14d (43%)
- Freshness10% weight85very strong49d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight71strongOR 107
- Form20% weight47below averageLast 6: 2-7-1-0-3
MarketBest price 3.05 (Smarkets) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newbury 7f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.16
High (8–10)
IV 0.86
Today: Catullus (draw 6) and Leading Dancer (draw 5) get the bias; Elarak (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 27103 | 107 | 73.6 | 2/1J·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 10 | J: Sean Levey · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 311 | 92 | 65.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: David Probert · T: Charles Hills · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 44232 | 105 | 69.8 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: David Egan · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 7 5yo · G · b | 51277 | 107 | 50.6 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Richard Hughes · draw 3 5yo · G · bp | 00321 | 100 | 59.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Ryan Moore · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 63820 | 108 | 62.9 | 2/1J·3.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 10 5yo · G · cht | 22957 | 101 | 57.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 3yo · C · b | 109108 | 106 | 50.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8 4yo · F · b | 11101 | 93 | 62.7 | — |
| — | — | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 4 4yo · G · br | 40023 | 104 | 55.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:07 Newbury?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Catullus, won the race (AI score 73.6).
What were the placings in the 16:07 Newbury?
Top finishers: 1. Catullus (IRE) (3.00), 2. Leading Dancer (IRE) (23.00), 3. Elarak (GB) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:07 Newbury?
The winning time was 1m 23.37s.
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