Who won the 13:20 Ayr on 18 September 2026?
Diplomata (GB) won the 13:20 Ayr at SP 3.50. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.
13:20 Ayr
Ladbrokes 'Bet £5 Get £30 New Customer Offer' Fillies' Nursery Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 9 runners · £7,851 · Friday, 18 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 5/2F·3.50Race report
- 1stDiplomata (GB)AI top pick · 61.2Tom Marquand·William Haggas5/2F·3.50SP
- 2ndOne Shot Kodi (IRE)Oisin McSweeney·Kevin Ryan·beaten 2.25 lengths13/2·7.50SP
- 3rdMotown Filly (IRE)Saffie Osborne·Richard Spencer·beaten 0.05 lengths11/4·3.75SP
Race time
1m 34.66s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Diplomata (GB))
“Settled off the pace mid-pack - angled right and pushed along 2f out - angled right once more soon after - gained ground entering final furlong to hit front - stayed on strongly to the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way59.1/100 rating
Motown Filly
4.70Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Diplomata
Diplomata comes into this seven-furlong Ayr Class 4 on soft ground narrowly behind the top-rated Motown Filly on our assessments, but a progressive profile suggests there may be more to come and that gap could already be flattering to the rival. Motown Filly and Global Success, who shares the second rating, are the principal dangers alongside One Shot Kodi, who is not far off the pace on 75. Confidence is not high in a competitive nine-runner field, but the upward trajectory gives Diplomata the edge, and she is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Diplomata
Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 2yo
Top-rated of 9
score 61.2 · +2.1 clear of next best (59.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight69strongLast 6: 4-5-3-1
- Trainer20% weight58averageWilliam Haggas: 16/70 winners last 14d (23%)
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78 — above field median
MarketBest price 4.00 (Matchbook) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.92
High (7–9)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 7 2yo · F · gr | 4531 | 78 | 61.2 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 4 2yo · F · gr | 8742 | 70 | 47.6 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 272 | 77 | 59.1 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: J. S. Moore · draw 6 2yo · F · bb | 325253 | 66 | 45.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 3 2yo · F · ch | 12 | 82 | 57.9 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Jason Hart · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 561 | 71 | 53.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 527 | 70 | 49.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 2 2yo · F · gr | 545 | 66 | 41.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| — | 9 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 667 | 62 | 37.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:20 Ayr?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Diplomata, won the race (AI score 61.2).
What were the placings in the 13:20 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Diplomata (GB) (3.50), 2. One Shot Kodi (IRE) (7.50), 3. Motown Filly (IRE) (3.75).
What was the winning time for the 13:20 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 34.66s.
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