15:40 Ayr

Ladbrokes Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Soft · 24 runners · £20,616 · Friday, 18 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th

1st
Eye Of Dubai (GB)
Jason Hart·John & Sean Quinn
15/2·8.50
SP
2nd
Rousing Encore (IRE)
James Sullivan·Ruth Carr·beaten .5 lengths
9/1·10.00
SP
3rd
Bone Marra (IRE)
Dylan Hogan·Ollie Sangster·beaten 2.25 lengths
33/1·34.00
SP

Race time

1m 14.40s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Eye Of Dubai (GB))

“Settled on the far flank early - tracking the pacesetter - eased forward to hit the front approaching 2f out - drifted right under pressure inside the final furlong - stayed on gamely to score”

AI top-rated French Affair (score 58.5) finished 5th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 16.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way51.1/100 rating

Righthere Rightnow

11.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Milford

Milford rates 1 lb behind the joint top-rated pair Woven and Territorial Knight, but a progressive profile makes the case that there is more to come from this one on soft ground over six furlongs at Ayr, and the step up in class need not be a barrier if that upward curve continues. Woven and Territorial Knight are the obvious dangers at the head of affairs, and Vantheman, rated 3 lb off the pace, cannot be dismissed in a wide-open 24-runner field. On balance, the selection is Milford.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

French Affair

Sean Bowen · Jennie Candlish · 3yo

Top-rated of 24

score 58.5 · +2.8 clear of next best (55.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
18d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
71strong
Last 6: 2-4-6-1-1-3
Ratings50% weight
55average
OR 82
Trainer20% weight
35below average
Jennie Candlish: 4/28 winners last 14d (14%)

MarketBest price 20.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 8th in the market of 24.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–9)

IV 1.24

Mid (10–17)

IV 0.98

High (18–25)

IV 0.75

Today: French Affair (draw 7) and Vantheman (draw 3) get the bias; Jordan Electrics (draw 20) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	17	Eye of Dubai J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 2 5yo · G · bbFT B	00800	9-06	82	—	—	42.7	15/2·8.50 SP
2	18	Rousing Encore J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 24 6yo · G · b	040305	9-06	82	—	—	47.2	9/1·10.00 SP
3	10	Bone Marra J: Dylan Hogan · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 10 3yo · G · bt	20123	9-08	86	—	—	55.4	33/1·34.00 SP
4	5	Vantheman J: Sam James · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 3 5yo · G · bb	134455	9-10	86	—	—	51.4	20/1·21.00 SP
5	24	French Affair J: Sean Bowen · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 7 3yo · G · b	246113	9-04	82	—	—	58.5	16/1·17.00 SP
6	12	Francisco's Piece J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 25 4yo · G · b	57512	9-07	83	—	—	55.2	18/1·19.00 SP
7	9	U Sure Do J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 13 4yo · G · btpFT TP	41698	9-08	84	—	—	45.5	10/1·11.00 SP
8	3	American Style J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 21 4yo · G · ch	006312	9-11	87	—	—	55.6	20/1·21.00 SP
9	8	Woven J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 12 10yo · G · chp	47295	9-08	84	—	—	49.9	9/1·10.00 SP
10	4	Jordan Electrics J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 20 10yo · G · bp	483130	9-10	86	—	—	55.7	25/1·26.00 SP
11	22	Righthere Rightnow J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 5 4yo · G · bp	400307	9-05	81	—	—	51.1	17/2·9.50 SP
12	1	Milford J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 23 4yo · G · bv	609282	9-11	87	—	—	48.3	7/1F·8.00 SP
13	13	Fleetwater J: Kaiya Fraser · T: J. S. Moore · draw 9 4yo · F · b	239187	9-07	83	—	—	50.4	33/1·34.00 SP
14	2	Wild Clary J: P. J. McDonald · T: Richard Hannon · draw 19 4yo · G · b	423144	9-11	87	—	—	54.1	18/1·19.00 SP
15	14	Brighton Boy J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 17 4yo · G · gr	606035	9-07	83	—	—	45.5	25/1·26.00 SP
16	16	Boston Dan J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 11 3yo · C · bt	004701	9-07	80	—	—	49.7	10/1·11.00 SP
17	11	It Just Takes Time J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · draw 8 8yo · G · br	223198	9-07	83	—	—	44.8	25/1·26.00 SP
18	15	Manila Scouse J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 7yo · G · bt	610006	9-07	83	—	—	43.4	22/1·23.00 SP
19	25	Winged Messenger J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Julie Camacho · draw 15 5yo · G · bp	40570	9-04	80	—	—	40.3	10/1·11.00 SP
20	6	Territorial Knight J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 22 4yo · G · ch	54259	9-09	85	—	—	49.6	9/1·10.00 SP
21	21	Al Hussar J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 6 4yo · G · bb	516475	9-05	81	—	—	42.4	33/1·34.00 SP
22	19	Angel Shared J: Dougie Costello · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 16 5yo · M · b	064914	9-06	77	—	—	44.9	33/1·34.00 SP
23	20	Society Kiss J: Joanna Mason · T: John Mackie · draw 14 3yo · F · b	10320	9-05	83	—	—	45.6	50/1·51.00 SP
24	7	Hunky Dory J: Tom Marquand · T: Linda Perratt · draw 18 4yo · G · chp	186361	9-09	80	—	—	50.8	33/1·34.00 SP
—	—	Rikki Tiki Tavi J: · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 1 3yo · G · b	00001	9-05	78	—	—	47.2	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:40 Ayr on 18 September 2026?

Eye Of Dubai (GB) won the 15:40 Ayr at SP 8.50. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by John & Sean Quinn.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (French Affair) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 15:40 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Eye Of Dubai (GB) (8.50), 2. Rousing Encore (IRE) (10.00), 3. Bone Marra (IRE) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:40 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 14.40s.

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