13:15 Newmarket

Turners British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners · £6,700 · Saturday, 19 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/5F·1.40

1st
Flower Show (IRE)AI top pick · 42.0
Billy Loughnane·Charlie Appleby
2/5F·1.40
SP
2nd
Lily Pink (GB)
Callum Shepherd·Charlie Johnston·beaten 2 lengths
4/1·5.00
SP
3rd
Gainful (GB)
Hector Crouch·Ralph Beckett·beaten 1.25 lengths
20/1·21.00
SP

Race time

1m 38.09s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Flower Show (IRE))

“Settled in the pack early - pushed along with a furlong left - moved clear inside the final furlong - stayed on strongly to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.40 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way28.0/100 rating

Zhuri

5.70Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Flower Show

Billy Loughnane · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 7

score 42.0 · +14.0 clear of next best (28.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Charlie Appleby: 12/24 winners last 14d (50%)
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
60average
Last 6: 3
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 1.48 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.08

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.87

High (6–7)

IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 193 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Flower Show J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 5 2yo · F · ch	3	9-02	—	—	—	42.0	2/5F·1.40 SP
2	5	Lily Pink J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4 2yo · F · ch	25	9-02	—	—	—	23.2	4/1·5.00 SP
3	3	Gainful J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 7 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	22.0	20/1·21.00 SP
4	7	Zhuri J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 2 2yo · F · ch	—	9-02	—	—	—	28.0	6/1·7.00 SP
5	6	Miss You Nights J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 6 2yo · F · b	84	9-02	—	—	—	19.7	200/1·201.00 SP
6	1	Catonahottinroof J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 3 2yo · F · bhFT H	—	9-02	—	—	—	28.0	22/1·23.00 SP
7	4	Give Me A Bow J: Josephine Gordon · T: William Stone · draw 1 2yo · F · ch	67	9-02	—	—	—	11.8	400/1·401.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:15 Newmarket on 19 September 2026?

Flower Show (IRE) won the 13:15 Newmarket at SP 1.40. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Charlie Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:15 Newmarket?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Flower Show, won the race (AI score 42.0).

What were the placings in the 13:15 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Flower Show (IRE) (1.40), 2. Lily Pink (GB) (5.00), 3. Gainful (GB) (21.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:15 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 38.09s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org