Who won the 15:00 Newmarket on 19 September 2026?
Northcliff (IRE) won the 15:00 Newmarket at SP 5.50. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam.
15:00 Newmarket
Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap Stakes (Div I)
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners · £6,778 · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 9/2·5.50Race report
- 1stNorthcliff (IRE)AI top pick · 57.7Billy Loughnane·Jane Chapple-Hyam9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndExplosive Finnish (GB)Jack Mitchell·Kevin & Lauren Frost·beaten 2.5 lengths7/2·4.50SP
- 3rdRocking Ends (GB)Robert Havlin·Tom Clover·beaten .75 lengths14/1·15.00SP
Race time
1m 10.30s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Northcliff (IRE))
“Settled on the near flank early - set the pace throughout - pushed along a furlong out - stayed on strongly to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way57.7/100 rating
Northcliff
8.00Hollywood Bets
Place portion settles at 2.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Nostrum
Nostrum rates 3 lb below the top-rated Rocking Ends on these figures, but a progressive profile makes a compelling case that the gap in current form is considerably narrower than the bare ratings suggest, and on good ground over six furlongs at Newmarket there is every reason to expect further improvement. Rocking Ends is the most obvious threat given that rating advantage, while Expert Agent and Rajaking also enter calculations and must not be dismissed lightly. The selection is taken to edge out the top-rated on the strength of an upward trajectory that the others may struggle to match. Nostrum is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Northcliff
Billy Loughnane · Jane Chapple-Hyam · 6yo
Top-rated of 9
score 57.7 · +2.6 clear of next best (55.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight63averageLast 6: 6-0-2-2-2-3
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 80
- Trainer20% weight43below averageJane Chapple-Hyam: 2/12 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 8.00 (Hollywood Bets) · 5th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket 6f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.13).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.04
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.80
High (7–9)
IV 1.13
Today: Northcliff (draw 9) and Explosive Finnish (draw 7) get the bias; Expert Agent (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 87 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 9 6yo · G · chb | 602223 | 80 | 57.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 7 3yo · G · ch | 322513 | 78 | 55.1 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Robert Havlin · T: Tom Clover · draw 8 6yo · G · gr | 571550 | 87 | 53.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Harry Davies · T: T. J. Kent · draw 3 4yo · G · bt | 64313 | 81 | 50.2 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: David Probert · T: Michael Appleby · draw 6 6yo · G · b | 258000 | 82 | 45.9 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Stuart Williams · draw 5 6yo · G · b | 216468 | 77 | 49.6 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 2 6yo · G · b | 523735 | 78 | 44.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Martin Dunne · draw 4 5yo · G · b/es | 501352 | 81 | 48.3 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Kieren Fox · T: Charlie Pike · draw 1 3yo · G · bt | 908946 | 72 | 49.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Newmarket?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Northcliff, won the race (AI score 57.7).
What were the placings in the 15:00 Newmarket?
Top finishers: 1. Northcliff (IRE) (5.50), 2. Explosive Finnish (GB) (4.50), 3. Rocking Ends (GB) (15.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:00 Newmarket?
The winning time was 1m 10.30s.
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