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Next · 7m14:15Listowel

16:20 Newmarket

Turners Cesarewitch Trial Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

2m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners · £12,885 · Saturday, 19 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Premiere Ligne (FR)
    Harry Davies·Hughie Morrison
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Percy Shelley (GB)
    Callum Shepherd·James Owen·beaten 6.5 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Squire Danagher (GB)
    Hector Crouch·Emma Lavelle·beaten .5 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
Race time
3m 46.02s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Premiere Ligne (FR))

“Set the pace from the off - clear of the field by the 3f mark - driven on approaching 2f out - kept on well inside the final furlong - shut down late and won readily”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way66.8/100 rating
Squire Danagher
7.5010 Bet
Place portion settles at 2.63 · 1/4 odds · 2 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: In The Breeze

In The Breeze heads this Newmarket staying contest on a rating narrowly ahead of the chasing pack, and over eighteen furlongs on good ground there is every reason to believe that edge will prove meaningful when stamina is tested in the closing stages. Squire Danagher and Percy Shelley, both rated three pounds behind, represent the most credible threats alongside Premiere Ligne, who is only a pound further back and should not be underestimated in a compact field. The selection may need to produce a performance close to his best to hold them off, but the evidence points to him being the one to beat. In The Breeze is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

In The Breeze

Billy Loughnane · Henrietta C Knight · 8yo

Top-rated of 7
score 71.5 · +4.8 clear of next best (66.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=5)
    Henrietta C Knight: 3/5 winners last 14d (60%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    62average
    OR 93 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    53average
    Last 6: 1-0-1-0-2
MarketBest price 3.70 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Harry Davies · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 5
7yo · G · btp
96765
7545.8
4/1·5.00
SP
24
J: Callum Shepherd · T: James Owen · draw 6
7yo · G · b
24624
8449.2
5/2·3.50
SP
33
J: Hector Crouch · T: Emma Lavelle · draw 2
6yo · G · bp
71119
8966.8
14/1·15.00
SP
47
J: Owen Lewis(5) · T: Roger Teal · draw 3
4yo · G · b
311193
7363.7
5/1·6.00
SP
52
6yo · G · ch
14631
8962.9
2/1F·3.00
SP
65
J: David Probert · T: Tony Carroll · draw 7
7yo · G · bh
306134
7847.9
14/1·15.00
SP
——
8yo · G · b
10102
9371.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:20 Newmarket on 19 September 2026?

Premiere Ligne (FR) won the 16:20 Newmarket at SP 5.00. Ridden by Harry Davies. Trained by Hughie Morrison.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (In The Breeze) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 16:20 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Premiere Ligne (FR) (5.00), 2. Percy Shelley (GB) (3.50), 3. Squire Danagher (GB) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:20 Newmarket?

The winning time was 3m 46.02s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org