Who won the 13:20 Ayr on 19 September 2026?
Naval Light (GB) won the 13:20 Ayr at SP 17.00. Ridden by Sam James. Trained by K. R. Burke.
13:20 Ayr
Ladbrokes 'Bet £5 Get £30 New Customer Offer' Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 2 · Heavy · 14 runners · £23,193 · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 11thRace report
- 1stNaval Light (GB)Sam James·K. R. Burke16/1·17.00SP
- 2ndHawksbill (GB)George Wood·Richard Spencer·beaten 1.25 lengths15/2·8.50SP
- 3rdSpoken Truth (IRE)Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara·beaten 2 lengths100/30F·4.33SP
Race time
1m 46.24s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Naval Light (GB))
“Held up at back - pushed along and made progress under 2f out - stayed on strongly to hit the front close home”
AI top-rated McMurray (score 69.2) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way69.2/100 rating
McMurray
7.20Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Northern Express
Northern Express heads this competitive Class 2 mile at Ayr narrowly ahead of Lattam on ratings, with the pair separated by just a pound, and he has the profile of a horse who should relish the soft ground over this trip. Lattam and Thunder Roar are the most obvious threats, with English Oak also capable of making a bold show from a field of fourteen, but Northern Express possesses the edge in class and form to see him through. The conditions look to play right into his hands, and with high confidence behind the selection, the call is straightforward. Northern Express is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
McMurray
Jack Callan · George Boughey · 3yo
Top-rated of 14
score 69.2 · +7.9 clear of next best (61.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight99very strongLast 6: 2-1-1-1-1
- Freshness10% weight65strong135d since last run (rusty)
- Ratings50% weight62averageOR 93
- Trainer20% weight60averageGeorge Boughey: 8/34 winners last 14d (24%)
MarketBest price 7.20 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.06
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.92
High (11–14)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 381173 | 87 | 59.6 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · draw 4 4yo · G · ch | 607574 | 92 | 54.7 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 9 5yo · G · bt | 326431 | 90 | 56.4 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 4 | 12 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 7 5yo · G · b | 0606 | 83 | 42.1 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Jason Hart · T: David O'Meara · draw 1 6yo · G · grt | 545817 | 90 | 51.5 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 6 | 11 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 03400 | 84 | 47.9 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 6 7yo · G · ch | 70008 | 90 | 40.9 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 8 | 13 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 4yo · G · bv | 565003 | 83 | 46.1 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Michael Dods · draw 13 8yo · G · chp | 355135 | 96 | 54.9 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 10 | 3 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 44160 | 94 | 51.7 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Jack Callan · T: George Boughey · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 21111 | 93 | 69.2 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 12 | 10 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 12 4yo · F · ch | 4160 | 88 | 48.9 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 13 | 1 | J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 14 6yo · G · b | 160206 | 100 | 61.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 14 | 8 | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 11 7yo · G · ch | 5207 | 89 | 40.6 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:20 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (McMurray) finished 11.
What were the placings in the 13:20 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Naval Light (GB) (17.00), 2. Hawksbill (GB) (8.50), 3. Spoken Truth (IRE) (4.33).
What was the winning time for the 13:20 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 46.24s.
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