Who won the 14:31 Leicester on 21 September 2026?
Arabica Queen (GB) won the 14:31 Leicester at SP 13.00. Ridden by Rob Hornby. Trained by Jonathan Portman.
14:31 Leicester
Racing Bet-Builder At Spreadex Sports Fillies' Nursery Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 14 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 21 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stArabica Queen (GB)Rob Hornby·Jonathan Portman12/1·13.00SP
- 2ndSoeur De Flash (GB)Rossa Ryan·Clive Cox·beaten 0.2 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdBabzini (IRE)Charles Bishop·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten 2 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
1m 11.20s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Arabica Queen (GB))
“Handy early - pushed to close gap approaching final furlong then battled gamely through the last stages - got up right at the line”
AI top-rated Rocsane (score 65.9) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way65.9/100 rating
Rocsane
11.50Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Bearly Blue
Bearly Blue heads this competitive 16-runner Class 5 sprint at Leicester on good-to-firm ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Troublesome Guest and Babzini, who are both rated a pound behind and represent the chief threats alongside Seed Ya Later, three pounds behind the selection. The six-furlong trip and the surface conditions look well-suited to our selection, and that slender edge at the top of the ratings is enough to tip the balance in a field where the dangers are closely matched rather than overwhelming. Troublesome Guest and Babzini will need to be respected given how tight the margins are, but Bearly Blue's position at the head of the assessments gives a clear case for supporting the selection with medium confidence. The pick is Bearly Blue.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Rocsane
Silvestre De Sousa · George Margarson · 2yo
Top-rated of 16
score 65.9 · +7.0 clear of next best (59.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=5)George Margarson: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight66strongLast 6: 5-3-2-2-3
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68
MarketBest price 11.50 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 16.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Leicester 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–6)
IV 1.13
Mid (7–11)
IV 0.93
High (12–16)
IV 0.92
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 111 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 13 2yo · F · ch | 213053 | 69 | 39.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 7 2yo · F · bt | 33 | 70 | 52.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 12 2yo · F · b | 364 | 68 | 42.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 15 | J: George Wood · T: James Fanshawe · draw 5 2yo · F · brvFT V | 531905 | 62 | 47.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 352 | 69 | 47.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 42 | 71 | 56.6 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: George Margarson · draw 10 2yo · F · b | 53223 | 68 | 65.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 8 | 14 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 34711 | 57 | 45.6 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 9 | 12 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Jack Channon · draw 16 2yo · F · ch | 367343 | 66 | 45.7 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 10 | 1 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 14 2yo · F · b | 351 | 74 | 49.2 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 9 2yo · F · chhFT H | 010 | 68 | 39.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 12 | 13 | J: Josephine Gordon · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 423769 | 65 | 40.7 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 13 | 7 | J: Dylan Hogan · T: Julia & Shelley Birkett · draw 15 2yo · F · b | 613 | 69 | 54.8 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 14 | 16 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 11 2yo · F · bb | 352230 | 60 | 44.2 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 1 2yo · F · bpFT P | 7254 | 72 | 42.3 | — |
| — | — | J: David Egan · T: George Margarson · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 30854 | 74 | 59.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:31 Leicester?
No — the AI top pick (Rocsane) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 14:31 Leicester?
Top finishers: 1. Arabica Queen (GB) (13.00), 2. Soeur De Flash (GB) (6.50), 3. Babzini (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:31 Leicester?
The winning time was 1m 11.20s.
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