Who won the 15:02 Leicester on 21 September 2026?
Poole Bay (IRE) won the 15:02 Leicester at SP 5.50. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Roger Varian.
15:02 Leicester
British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (For Horses Which Have Never Run) (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 10 runners · £9,180 · Monday, 21 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 10thRace report
- 1stPoole Bay (IRE)Ray Dawson·Roger Varian9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndWarrior Knight (IRE)Rob Hornby·Andrew Balding·beaten .75 lengths3/1·4.00SP
- 3rdHeno (GB)Billy Loughnane·Tom Ward·beaten 1 length10/1·11.00SP
Race time
1m 24.50s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Poole Bay (IRE))
“Settled just behind the pace - pushed along with 2f to run - hit the front inside final furlong and stayed on well to win”
AI top-rated Denver Sluice (score 31.5) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way25.0/100 rating
Warrior Knight
5.50Virgin Bet
Place portion settles at 1.90 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Denver Sluice
George Wood · Lemos De Souza · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 31.5 · +6.5 clear of next best (25.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=6)Lemos De Souza: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight50averageLast 6: first run
- Freshness10% weight50averageno recent-run data
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 51.00 (Virgin Bet) · 7th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Leicester 7f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.03
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.17
High (9–11)
IV 0.81
Today: Denver Sluice (draw 8) and Twilight Fox (draw 5) get the bias; Escalate (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 148 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 11 2yo · C · b | — | — | 21.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 2 | 10 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 2yo · C · b | — | — | 25.0 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Tom Ward · draw 1 2yo · C · b | — | — | 18.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 6 2yo · G · b | — | — | 18.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 5 | 11 | J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 3 2yo · C · b | — | — | 24.0 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 10 2yo · C · b | — | — | 17.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Nicola Currie · T: Henry Candy · draw 5 2yo · G · b | — | — | 25.0 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 2 2yo · C · b | — | — | 20.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: William Carson · T: David Evans · draw 7 2yo · C · b | — | — | 21.0 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 10 | 1 | J: George Wood · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 8 2yo · C · b | — | — | 31.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 9 2yo · C · b | — | — | 23.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:02 Leicester?
No — the AI top pick (Denver Sluice) finished 10.
What were the placings in the 15:02 Leicester?
Top finishers: 1. Poole Bay (IRE) (5.50), 2. Warrior Knight (IRE) (4.00), 3. Heno (GB) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:02 Leicester?
The winning time was 1m 24.50s.
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