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Next · 1h 19m14:30Gowran Park

14:04 Ffos Las

Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Nursery Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Soft · 5 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 21 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Resemblance (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·Michael Bell
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Chief Minister (GB)
    Callum Hutchinson·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten 1.75 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Beechwood Glory (IRE)
    Conor Whiteley·John Butler·beaten 4.5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
1m 12.26s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Resemblance (IRE))

“Handy early behind front pack - improved to second inside final two furlongs - hit front close home despite drifting right - held on for the win”

AI top-rated Harry's Pop (score 52.4) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Harry's Pop

Harry's Pop arrives at Ffos Las on a progressive profile that gives cause for optimism despite sitting a few pounds behind the two top-rated runners, Maximus Meridius and Beechwood Glory, who are narrowly ahead on paper and must be respected as the chief dangers, with Resemblance also capable of making life difficult on this testing heavy ground over six furlongs. The class five conditions suit a horse on the upgrade, and if Harry's Pop continues the upward curve that makes him preferred here, he has enough ability to outrun his rating. The selection is Harry's Pop.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Harry's Pop

Jack Mitchell · Dylan Cunha · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 52.4 · +2.8 clear of next best (49.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    70strong
    Last 6: 4-0-4-4-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    Dylan Cunha: 3/30 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 5.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 6f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.27).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.81
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.27
High (5–6)
IV 0.97

Today: Maximus Meridius (draw 4) and Resemblance (draw 3) get the bias; Beechwood Glory (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 40 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Michael Bell · draw 3
2yo · F · ch
027
7036.5
9/4F·3.25
SP
24
2yo · C · b
958
6937.7
11/4·3.75
SP
36
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: John Butler · draw 1
2yo · C · ch
5323
6849.6
5/1·6.00
SP
45
J: Toby Moore(7) · T: David Loughnane · draw 4
2yo · G · b
2343
6944.5
5/1·6.00
SP
51
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 6
2yo · G · b
404411
7552.4
4/1·5.00
SP
——
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 2
2yo · C · bpFT P
247
7046.9—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:04 Ffos Las on 21 September 2026?

Resemblance (IRE) won the 14:04 Ffos Las at SP 3.25. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Michael Bell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:04 Ffos Las?

No — the AI top pick (Harry's Pop) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 14:04 Ffos Las?

Top finishers: 1. Resemblance (IRE) (3.25), 2. Chief Minister (GB) (3.75), 3. Beechwood Glory (IRE) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:04 Ffos Las?

The winning time was 1m 12.26s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org