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RacingAlpha

14:15 Hamilton

Evolution, Your Partner For Fastener Solutions EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 5 runners · £6,210 · Monday, 21 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/8F·2.38
  1. 1st
    By Jove Grace (IRE)AI top pick · 49.2
    Warren Fentiman·Richard & Peter Fahey
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Mrs Blue (FR)
    Daniel Tudhope·Ollie Sangster·beaten 3.75 lengths
    6/4·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Queen Of Tears (IRE)
    David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 4 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
Race time
1m 1.39s

Race time recorded.

In-running (By Jove Grace (IRE))

“Held up early - moving through 3f out - angled right approaching 2f out - hit the front inside final furlong - drew away and kept finding more to the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

By Jove Grace

Warren Fentiman(3) · Richard & Peter Fahey · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 49.2 · +23.2 clear of next best (26.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    62average
    Last 6: 2-5-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    23weak
    Richard & Peter Fahey: 4/47 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 2.70 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Hamilton 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.19
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.00
High (5–5)
IV 0.79

Today: Mrs Blue (draw 2) and Kumharas (draw 1) get the bias; Queen of Tears (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
2yo · F · b
252
6749.2
11/8F·2.38
SP
24
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 2
2yo · F · b
3
—26.0
6/4·2.50
SP
35
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5
2yo · F · b
6
—17.5
16/1·17.00
SP
43
2yo · F · b
5
—20.5
100/30·4.33
SP
51
2yo · G · gr
0
—6.5
100/1·101.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:15 Hamilton on 21 September 2026?

By Jove Grace (IRE) won the 14:15 Hamilton at SP 2.38. Ridden by Warren Fentiman. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:15 Hamilton?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, By Jove Grace, won the race (AI score 49.2).

What were the placings in the 14:15 Hamilton?

Top finishers: 1. By Jove Grace (IRE) (2.38), 2. Mrs Blue (FR) (2.50), 3. Queen Of Tears (IRE) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:15 Hamilton?

The winning time was 1m 1.39s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org