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RacingAlpha

16:57 Fairyhouse

Ireland

La Bucca Restaurant Handicap

7f · Flat · Good · 18 runners · €7,200 · Monday, 21 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/1J·5.00
  1. 1st
    Naoi (IRE)AI top pick · 53.7
    W. J. Lee·W. McCreery
    4/1J·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Moyassr (IRE)
    Sam Coen·Adrian McGuinness·beaten 1 length
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    La La Lucrative (IRE)
    Wesley Joyce·Matthew J Smith·beaten 0.2 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
Race time
1m 25.32s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Naoi (IRE))

“Settled in the pack - moved to the outside approaching final 2f then edged into second inside the final furlong - got up to score late”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way53.7/100 rating
Naoi
5.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Venetian Star

Venetian Star merits serious consideration here despite sitting two pounds behind the jointly top-rated Blues Emperor and Thru And Thru, as a progressive profile suggests there is more to come and the upward curve can bridge that narrow gap on good ground at Fairyhouse over seven furlongs. Blues Emperor and Thru And Thru share the top rating and will be the primary dangers, while Loingseoir is not without claims either in a wide-open field of twenty-one. The selection is Venetian Star.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Naoi

W. J. Lee · W. McCreery · 4yo

Top-rated of 21
score 53.7 · +2.3 clear of next best (51.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    W. McCreery: 3/12 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 68 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    43below average
    Last 6: 3-3-8-1-9
MarketBest price 5.80 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Fairyhouse 7f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–7)
IV 1.01
Mid (8–14)
IV 1.16
High (15–21)
IV 0.84

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 36 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: W. J. Lee · T: W. McCreery · draw 2
4yo · F · b
33819
6853.7
4/1J·5.00
SP
27
J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 4
5yo · G · bt
600822
6537.4
6/1·7.00
SP
310
J: Wesley Joyce · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 8
5yo · G · b
71814
6341.1
15/2·8.50
SP
48
J: J M Sheridan · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 1
5yo · G · chtb
062103
6438.2
4/1J·5.00
SP
514
J: Colin Keane · T: Gerard Keane · draw 10
4yo · F · b
06032
6139.3
7/1·8.00
SP
611
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: W. McCreery · draw 5
4yo · F · gt
07071
6351.4
14/1·15.00
SP
71
J: Nathan Crosse · T: William Harvey · draw 9
7yo · G · chtp
406073
6935.1
10/1·11.00
SP
83
9yo · G · gv
564135
6639.3
18/1·19.00
SP
915
J: W. M. Lordan · T: M C Grassick · draw 6
3yo · G · ch
87077
6338.8
20/1·21.00
SP
106
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Rory Anthony Devine · draw 3
4yo · F · rnt
23060
6632.2
9/1·10.00
SP
1121
J: Ben Coen · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 18
3yo · F · b
152678
5744.8
14/1·15.00
SP
125
J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: M C Grassick · draw 20
10yo · G · bt
446438
6641.5
25/1·26.00
SP
1319
J: R. P. Whelan · T: Jack W Davison · draw 14
3yo · F · b
65290
6041.0
33/1·34.00
SP
1413
J: Jamie Powell · T: Aidan Melia · draw 19
6yo · G · b
24480
6143.4
25/1·26.00
SP
1512
J: Killian Leonard · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 13
4yo · G · b
6800
6228.5
80/1·81.00
SP
1618
3yo · F · ch
090
6030.4
80/1·81.00
SP
1717
J: Rory Cleary · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 11
3yo · G · br
7560
6140.0
80/1·81.00
SP
1816
J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 21
3yo · F · bht
535400
6335.0
50/1·51.00
SP
——
J: · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 15
3yo · F · btp
602424
5839.8—
——
J: Ben Coen · T: A Oliver · draw 17
3yo · F · b
4036
6939.1—
——
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 16
3yo · G · bb
020050
6744.8—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:57 Fairyhouse on 21 September 2026?

Naoi (IRE) won the 16:57 Fairyhouse at SP 5.00. Ridden by W. J. Lee. Trained by W. McCreery.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:57 Fairyhouse?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Naoi, won the race (AI score 53.7).

What were the placings in the 16:57 Fairyhouse?

Top finishers: 1. Naoi (IRE) (5.00), 2. Moyassr (IRE) (7.00), 3. La La Lucrative (IRE) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:57 Fairyhouse?

The winning time was 1m 25.32s.

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