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RacingAlpha

18:27 Fairyhouse

Ireland

Fairyhouse.ie Nursery Handicap

6f · Flat · Good · 7 runners · €9,000 · Monday, 21 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Pink Venom (IRE)
    Ben Coen·J. P. Murtagh
    4/5F·1.80
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Prince Of Peppard (IRE)
    Rory Mulligan·J. P. Murtagh·beaten 2.25 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Stormy Dawn (IRE)
    Keithen Kennedy·P A Fahy·beaten 3.75 lengths
    40/1·41.00
    SP
Race time
1m 12.37s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Pink Venom (IRE))

“Held up towards the back early - up to 4th by halfway - driven for effort with 2f left - moved into 2nd a furlong out - hit the front 150 yards out and stayed on strongly to win”

AI top-rated Ocean Surge (score 53.8) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way53.8/100 rating
Ocean Surge
7.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: April Mist

April Mist heads this nine-runner field at Fairyhouse on good ground over six furlongs, sitting narrowly ahead of Bold Commander and with a more meaningful edge over the remainder, and her profile suggests she can translate that superiority into a result on the day. Bold Commander is the most pressing danger and will need to be watched closely throughout, while Pink Venom and Prince Of Peppard cannot be entirely dismissed if conditions suit. The selection is not without risk, but the overall picture points in her favour, and April Mist is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ocean Surge

W. J. Lee · W. McCreery · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 53.8 · +2.8 clear of next best (51.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    W. McCreery: 3/12 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    23weak
    Last 6: 8-6-5
MarketBest price 7.80 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Fairyhouse 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.10).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.08
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.81
High (7–9)
IV 1.10

Today: Pink Venom (draw 7) and Captain James Cook (draw 8) get the bias; April Mist (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 47 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 7
2yo · F · b
733
6741.3
4/5F·1.80
SP
27
J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 5
2yo · C · bp
9674
6537.1
8/1·9.00
SP
39
J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: P A Fahy · draw 9
2yo · F · b
006
5428.5
40/1·41.00
SP
45
J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 8
2yo · C · b
0766
6740.7
13/2·7.50
SP
54
J: Colin Keane · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 4
2yo · F · b
794
7038.7
14/1·15.00
SP
63
J: W. J. Lee · T: W. McCreery · draw 2
2yo · F · b
865
8053.8
5/1·6.00
SP
71
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: G. M. Lyons · draw 6
2yo · F · ch
2177
8551.0
10/1·11.00
SP
——
J: Jamie Powell · T: M C Grassick · draw 3
2yo · F · bh
7005
5934.9—
——
J: R. P. Whelan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 1
2yo · C · bbFT B
52555
8046.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:27 Fairyhouse on 21 September 2026?

Pink Venom (IRE) won the 18:27 Fairyhouse at SP 1.80. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by J. P. Murtagh.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:27 Fairyhouse?

No — the AI top pick (Ocean Surge) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 18:27 Fairyhouse?

Top finishers: 1. Pink Venom (IRE) (1.80), 2. Prince Of Peppard (IRE) (9.00), 3. Stormy Dawn (IRE) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:27 Fairyhouse?

The winning time was 1m 12.37s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org