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14:40 Goodwood

Heineken Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 7 runners · £13,085 · Wednesday, 23 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Tribal Chief (FR)
    William Buick·David Menuisier
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Storm Star (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.3 lengths
    7/4F·2.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Gun Carriage (USA)
    Rossa Ryan·Dylan Cunha·beaten 2.5 lengths
    40/1·41.00
    SP
Race time
1m 37.81s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tribal Chief (FR))

“Settled off the pace early - shifted across to launch a run inside the final furlong - closed on the front-runner in the last furlong - hit the front close home - saw it out narrowly to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way54.4/100 rating
Oliver Show
11.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Two Tempting

Two Tempting holds a narrow edge over the main dangers on these ratings, sitting a couple of pounds ahead of Storm Star and three clear of Oliver Show, with the consistent Tribal Chief also meriting respect in what looks a competitive Class 2 over the Goodwood mile. Storm Star is the most obvious threat given the small gap between the pair, while Oliver Show will not be out of it if reproducing recent form, but Two Tempting's superiority at the head of the rankings is enough to edge this on balance. Two Tempting is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Racingbreaks Ryder

Tom Marquand · Charles Hills · 6yo

Top-rated of 8
score 57.5 · +3.1 clear of next best (54.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 86
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 8-1-1-8-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Charles Hills: 3/20 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 25.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 6th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.15
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.07
High (7–8)
IV 0.77

Today: Racingbreaks Ryder (draw 1) and Oliver Show (draw 2) get the bias; Darkness (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: William Buick · T: David Menuisier · draw 8
5yo · G · bt
33606
9245.2
11/4·3.75
SP
25
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6
5yo · G · ch
602085
9149.5
7/4F·2.75
SP
32
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 3
4yo · G · ch
06444
9649.7
40/1·41.00
SP
47
J: Saffie Osborne · T: David O'Meara · draw 7
8yo · G · bv
000663
8549.5
9/1·10.00
SP
51
J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 5
7yo · G · ch
233040
9750.6
20/1·21.00
SP
64
J: Jack Callan · T: George Boughey · draw 2
6yo · G · chtv
004427
9154.4
8/1·9.00
SP
78
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 4
5yo · G · b
294482
8348.5
100/30·4.33
SP
——
J: Tom Marquand · T: Charles Hills · draw 1
6yo · G · b
81183
8657.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:40 Goodwood on 23 September 2026?

Tribal Chief (FR) won the 14:40 Goodwood at SP 3.75. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by David Menuisier.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:40 Goodwood?

No — the AI top pick (Racingbreaks Ryder) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 14:40 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Tribal Chief (FR) (3.75), 2. Storm Star (GB) (2.75), 3. Gun Carriage (USA) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:40 Goodwood?

The winning time was 1m 37.81s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org