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RacingAlpha

16:41 Listowel

Ireland

Listowel Arms Hotel Handicap

1m · Flat · Yielding · 7 runners · €12,000 · Tuesday, 22 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Morehampton (IRE)
    Ben Coen·J. P. Murtagh
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Highbury See See (IRE)
    Andrew Slattery·A. Slattery·beaten 1.75 lengths
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Eddie G (IRE)
    Reese Holohan·Adrian McGuinness·beaten 2.5 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
Race time
1m 41.23s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Morehampton (IRE))

“Settled midfield early - urged into third approaching final 2f - up to second with a furlong left - driven ahead close home to score with a strong finish”

AI top-rated Goal Exceeded (score 49.9) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way49.9/100 rating
Goal Exceeded
10.00LiveScore Bet

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Victory Tip

Victory Tip holds a clear performance edge over this nine-runner field at Listowel, sitting comfortably clear of the nearest challenger Son Of Beauty and showing enough in his form profile to suggest a mile on good ground suits him well. Son Of Beauty, Morehampton and Exquisite Acclaim represent the chief dangers and cannot be dismissed lightly, particularly if Victory Tip encounters any trouble in running over the full eight furlongs. The confidence here is medium rather than maximum, but the form profile makes a compelling enough case. Victory Tip is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Goal Exceeded

Adam Caffrey · Adrian McGuinness · 5yo

Top-rated of 9
score 49.9 · +2.1 clear of next best (47.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    68strong
    Last 6: 0-3-1-4-4-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79
  • Trainer20% weight
    0weak
    Adrian McGuinness: 0/37 winners last 14d (0%)
MarketBest price 10.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 4th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Listowel 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.20
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.02
High (7–9)
IV 0.77

Today: Eddie G (draw 1) and Highbury See See (draw 2) get the bias; Goal Exceeded (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 51 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 6
3yo · G · b
050932
7947.5
3/1·4.00
SP
29
J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 2
4yo · G · b
403092
7241.4
5/2F·3.50
SP
32
5yo · G · bt
391185
7945.9
17/2·9.50
SP
48
7yo · G · btp
360463
7438.7
18/1·19.00
SP
54
J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 4
3yo · G · b
7315
8244.9
15/2·8.50
SP
63
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 7
5yo · G · bt
031441
7949.9
7/2·4.50
SP
75
J: Shane Foley · T: G. O'Leary · draw 5
4yo · G · bb
075346
7739.4
6/1·7.00
SP
——
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 9
3yo · G · b
316533
8144.0—
——
J: W. J. Lee · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 8
3yo · G · b
1920
9147.8—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:41 Listowel on 22 September 2026?

Morehampton (IRE) won the 16:41 Listowel at SP 4.00. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by J. P. Murtagh.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:41 Listowel?

No — the AI top pick (Goal Exceeded) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:41 Listowel?

Top finishers: 1. Morehampton (IRE) (4.00), 2. Highbury See See (IRE) (3.50), 3. Eddie G (IRE) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:41 Listowel?

The winning time was 1m 41.23s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org