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18:00 Kempton (AW)

Unibet/ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 11 runners · £5,940 · Wednesday, 23 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Duchess Of Immatin (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·George Boughey
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Show Me Glory (IRE)
    Jason Watson·Andrew Balding·beaten 1 length
    1/1F·2.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Threelittleangels (IRE)
    Joe Leavy·Roger Teal·beaten 3.75 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 13.68s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Duchess Of Immatin (IRE))

“Sat close up early under restraint - pushed to the front inside final furlong - held on well to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way28.0/100 rating
Show Me Glory
5.50LiveScore Bet
Place portion settles at 1.90 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Asheyra

Top-rated of 11
score 59.6 · +24.6 clear of next best (35.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    72strong
    Last 6: 3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Roger Varian: 4/23 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.33
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.89
High (9–12)
IV 0.74

Today: Show Me Glory (draw 3) and Duchess of Immatin (draw 1) get the bias; Asheyra (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Duchess of Immatin
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 1
2yo · F · b
44
—25.5
5/2·3.50
SP
210
Show Me Glory
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3
2yo · F · b
3
—28.0
1/1F·2.00
SP
311
Threelittleangels
J: Joe Leavy · T: Roger Teal · draw 6
2yo · F · ch
——35.0
11/2·6.50
SP
49
Sayidah Dubawi
J: George Wood · T: James Tate · draw 12
2yo · F · b
9
—17.7
33/1·34.00
SP
58
Mistral Madness
J: Sean Levey · T: Tom Ward · draw 7
2yo · F · b
57
—15.0
66/1·67.00
SP
67
Letter To Hermione
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Ed Walker · draw 8
2yo · F · b
——19.0
10/1·11.00
SP
72
Cubbie's Dream
J: Harry Davies · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 4
2yo · F · b
94
—18.9
66/1·67.00
SP
84
Forever Faithfull
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 10
2yo · F · b
7
—12.0
66/1·67.00
SP
912
Wig Wam Bam
J: Finley Marsh · T: Jack Channon · draw 2
2yo · F · b
83
—23.2
11/1·12.00
SP
106
Lady of Lucca
J: Alice Bond(5) · T: Martin Dunne · draw 5
2yo · F · b
35
—15.0
150/1·151.00
SP
115
Kitty Rey
J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 11
2yo · F · bh
0
—9.0
250/1·251.00
SP
——
Asheyra
J: · T: Roger Varian · draw 9
2yo · F · bh
32
8059.6—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:00 Kempton (AW) on 23 September 2026?

Duchess Of Immatin (IRE) won the 18:00 Kempton (AW) at SP 3.50. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by George Boughey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Asheyra) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Duchess Of Immatin (IRE) (3.50), 2. Show Me Glory (IRE) (2.00), 3. Threelittleangels (IRE) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 13.68s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org