19:30 Kempton (AW)

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7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 13 runners · £6,281 · Wednesday, 23 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 12th

1st
Luansobe (GB)
Harry Davies·Charlie Fellowes
4/1J·5.00
SP
2nd
Rogue Messiah (IRE)
Luke Morris·James Owen·beaten 1.25 lengths
10/1·11.00
SP
3rd
Chalk Mountain (GB)
Marco Ghiani·Zoe Hawkins·beaten 2.75 lengths
9/2·5.50
SP

Race time

1m 25.60s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Luansobe (GB))

“Settled towards the back early - moving through strongly with 2f left - pushed to hit the front inside the final furlong - clear soon after - allowed to coast home in the closing stages”

AI top-rated Majestic Dane (score 57.0) finished 12th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way50.4/100 rating

Luansobe

6.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Shaman Champion

Shaman Champion heads a competitive thirteen-runner field at Kempton over seven furlongs on the all-weather and arrives narrowly ahead of Physique, with Chalk Mountain and Prosperitas both a further few pounds back in a group that will need to be respected. Physique represents the most obvious threat given the proximity in the ratings, while Chalk Mountain and Prosperitas could easily fill the minor placings should the selection face any trouble in running on what is expected to be a standard-to-slow surface. On balance, however, Shaman Champion holds a clear edge in quality over the remainder of this Class 4 contest and looks the most likely winner. The selection is Shaman Champion.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Majestic Dane

Jack Mitchell · K. R. Burke · 3yo

Top-rated of 13

score 57.0 · +0.3 clear of next best (56.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
23d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
48below average
K. R. Burke: 12/63 winners last 14d (19%)
Form20% weight
46below average
Last 6: 1-2-9

MarketBest price 101.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 9th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.05

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.17

High (11–14)

IV 0.80

Today: Majestic Dane (draw 8) and Crossbar (draw 7) get the bias; Suggy (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	11	Luansobe J: Harry Davies · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 3 3yo · G · ch	01035	9-06	81	—	—	50.4	4/1J·5.00 SP
2	5	Rogue Messiah J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 5 3yo · G · b	82198	9-10	85	—	—	47.0	10/1·11.00 SP
3	8	Chalk Mountain J: Marco Ghiani · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 14 6yo · G · grt	672746	9-08	80	—	—	43.2	9/2·5.50 SP
4	6	Prosperitas J: Ray Dawson · T: T. J. Kent · draw 13 4yo · G · bp	00104	9-09	81	—	—	40.5	20/1·21.00 SP
5	12	Crossbar J: David Egan · T: Clive Cox · draw 7 3yo · G · b	13	9-06	81	—	—	56.7	4/1J·5.00 SP
6	4	Starfinch J: George Wood · T: Harry Eustace · draw 6 3yo · F · b	16930	9-10	85	—	—	46.1	25/1·26.00 SP
7	10	Metal Merchant J: Sean Levey · T: John Butler · draw 4 6yo · G · b	000499	9-08	80	—	—	43.0	22/1·23.00 SP
8	9	Rock Iguana J: Finley Marsh · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 10 4yo · G · b	62668	9-08	80	—	—	40.0	80/1·81.00 SP
9	13	Manly Fireball J: Billy Loughnane · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2 3yo · G · bp	721522	9-05	80	—	—	53.5	13/2·7.50 SP
10	1	Physique J: Grace McEntee · T: Micky Fenton · draw 1 6yo · G · b	321074	9-12	84	—	—	46.2	10/1·11.00 SP
11	14	Suggy J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 11 3yo · C · br	181144	9-04	79	—	—	56.4	15/2·8.50 SP
12	3	Majestic Dane J: Jack Mitchell · T: K. R. Burke · draw 8 3yo · G · b	129	9-10	85	—	—	57.0	28/1·29.00 SP
13	7	Shaman Champion J: Joe Leavy · T: Clive Cox · draw 12 3yo · G · b	70035	9-08	83	—	—	51.6	12/1·13.00 SP
—	—	Wild Nature J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater · draw 9 4yo · G · b	13006	9-11	83	—	—	40.4	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:30 Kempton (AW) on 23 September 2026?

Luansobe (GB) won the 19:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 5.00. Ridden by Harry Davies. Trained by Charlie Fellowes.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Majestic Dane) finished 12.

What were the placings in the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Luansobe (GB) (5.00), 2. Rogue Messiah (IRE) (11.00), 3. Chalk Mountain (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 25.60s.

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